Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Colorado Avalanche 4@Toronto Maple Leafs 1
2026-01-25COL · TOR
CF%?
53.4%·46.6%
xGF%?
66.0%·34.0%
HDCF%?
50.0%·50.0%
5v5 xGF%?
51.8%·48.2%
5v5 CF%?
52.5%·47.5%
?
TOR wins ↑COL wins ↓
COL 40%Deserved to win?60% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.93 xG vs 3.50 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
COL 4@TOR 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-25 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrock NelsonCOL · 3G · 1.61 ixG · 8 FOW99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMackenzie BlackwoodCOL · 32 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +2.2487
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCale MakarCOL · 1A · 0.24 ixG · 2 blk75COL
1Brock Nelson992Cale Makar753
Valeri Nichushkin674
Nathan MacKinnon655
Parker Kelly646
Joel Kiviranta637
Josh Manson628
Jack Drury619
Artturi Lehkonen5810
Steven Lorentz5511
Martin Necas5412
Sam Malinski5213
Taylor Makar5214
Victor Olofsson5015
Zakhar Bardakov4916
Gavin Brindley4917
Jack Ahcan4818
Samuel Girard4519
Brent Burns45
Brock Nelson992Cale Makar753Valeri Nichushkin674Nathan MacKinnon655Parker Kelly646Joel Kiviranta637Josh Manson628Jack Drury619Artturi Lehkonen5810Steven Lorentz5511Martin Necas5412Sam Malinski5213Taylor Makar5214Victor Olofsson5015Zakhar Bardakov4916Gavin Brindley4917Jack Ahcan4818Samuel Girard4519Brent Burns45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 2 (17) | 1 (14) | 1 (6) | 4 |
| TOR | 0 (6) | 0 (13) | 1 (14) | 1 |
| COL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 14 | Hits | 28 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| COL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 1 |
| 8.50 | Expected goals | 4.38 |
| 3.42 | 5v5 xG | 3.18 |
| 1.29 | Power-play xG | 1.10 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 37 | On goal | 33 |
| 20 | High-danger | 20 |
| 6 | Rebound chances | 6 |
| 14 | Missed | 18 |
| 19 | Blocked | 10 |
| 0.121 | xG per attempt | 0.072 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG102 of 131 attempts shown