Regular season

Taylor Makar

Colorado Avalanche · LW · #16

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?0 points in 12 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'3"
WT: 190 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Calgary, CAN
Draft: 2021 COL · R7 #220

56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2525pctl

2626pctl

3434pctl

4949pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.000pctl

0.000pctl

0.000pctl

0.63pctl

058pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.5%11pctl

1.3836pctl

0.002pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2526pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.627pctl

13.789pctl

1.0099pctl

0.803pctl

0:000pctl

0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 6 GP tracked · 1h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.8%26pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

15.9 min0pctl

Support received?

14.4 min100pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2618pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1823pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.00/gm100pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 75 EV min

General Offense

5.6450

9.6657

Shot Setups/60?

0.8147

Chance Setups/60?

0.0038

Primary Contributions/60?

6.4450

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0038

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0043

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.8157

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.8161

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0046

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.8162

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.4261

Rush Offense/60?

8.0552

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0038

0.0038

0.0040

Deflections/60?

2.4261

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0041

Entries Finished/60?

0.8152

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.8160

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.0038

0.0039

0.0038

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0045

Forechecking

8.0559

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.93M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Taylor Makar	56	Depth Forward	0 P · 12 GP	$0.93M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	this player
Max Jones	59	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 21 GP	$1.00M	$1.83M	B+$0.8M	86%
Reid Schaefer	55	Depth Forward	8 P · 47 GP	$0.89M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	84%
Arshdeep Bains	54	Depth Forward	5 P · 28 GP	$0.81M	$1.03M	C+$0.2M	83%
Noah Gregor	59	Depth Forward	9 P · 37 GP	$0.78M	$1.83M	B+$1.1M	83%

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 4 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 11-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 3:21 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 01-03

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:18 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 01-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 5:29 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 01-21

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:13 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 01-23

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:16 TOI

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR 01-25

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:56 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 01-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:30 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 01-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:01 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 02-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:44 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 02-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 3:25 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)15 events shown

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Colorado Avalanche	12	0	0	0	0
Career	1 team	12	0	0	0	0