Regular season

Noah Gregor

Winnipeg Jets · LW · #73

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?9 points in 37 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 201 lb
Age: 28
Shoots: L
From: Beaumont, CAN
Draft: 2016 SJS · R4 #111

59Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3232pctl

3333pctl

4646pctl

4545pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2424pctl

0.1126pctl

0.1423pctl

1.128pctl

-1022pctl

135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.2%46pctl

1.9359pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2728pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

7.057pctl

6.368pctl

0.4580pctl

1.8656pctl

0:1323pctl

0:1858pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 25 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

41.7%6pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

28.6%2pctl

O-zone deployment?

52%60pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.6 min6pctl

Support received?

15.4 min98pctl

D-zone deployment?

48%40pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0318pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5033pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1414pctl

0.79×0pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.26/gm35pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.2%35pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 335 EV min

General Offense

6.8166

7.8951

Shot Setups/60?

1.0858

Chance Setups/60?

0.9061

Primary Contributions/60?

7.8965

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3640

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0034

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.9071

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1833

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0040

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3677

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9770

Rush Offense/60?

11.3076

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5438

0.1822

0.1856

Deflections/60?

0.9032

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1861

Entries Finished/60?

1.6179

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.9076

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.9037

0.3660

0.5431

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1878

Forechecking

5.0261

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0044

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$1.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Noah Gregor	59	Depth Forward	9 P · 37 GP	$0.78M	$1.83M	B+$1.1M	this player
Cole Koepke	58	Wrecking Ball	17 P · 66 GP	$1.00M	$1.64M	C+$0.6M	92%
Max Jones	59	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 21 GP	$1.00M	$1.83M	B+$0.8M	91%
Alexander Holtz	61	Depth Forward	9 P · 28 GP	$0.84M	$2.24M	B+$1.4M	88%
Elmer Soderblom	57	Depth Forward	13 P · 59 GP	$1.13M	$1.46M	C+$0.3M	86%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Noah’s goals

Creates for

goals Noah assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 13 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:29 TOI

vs OTT

1P

1G 0A

vs OTT 03-31

1G 0A · 1 shots · 9:25 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:52 TOI

@ PIT

1P

1G 0A

@ PIT 04-04

1G 0A · 2 shots · 13:28 TOI

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:09 TOI

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL 04-07

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:29 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:32 TOI

@ TOR

1P

0G 1A

@ TOR 04-11

0G 1A · 3 shots · 15:04 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:48 TOI

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs DET 04-15

0G 1A · 2 shots · 13:43 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)90 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 8 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 13 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	San Jose Sharks	28	3	2	5	-5
2020-21	San Jose Sharks	30	5	1	6	-16
2021-22	San Jose Sharks	63	8	15	23	-21
2022-23	San Jose Sharks	57	10	7	17	-9
2023-24	Toronto Maple Leafs	63	6	6	12	-7
2024-25	Ottawa Senators	40	4	2	6	-12
2024-25	San Jose Sharks	12	0	1	1	-9
2025-26	Florida Panthers	37	4	5	9	-10
Career	4 teams	330	40	39	79	-89