Regular season

Reid Schaefer

Nashville Predators · LW · #49

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 108 hits (14.3/60)

HT: 6'5"
WT: 226 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: L
From: Edmonton, CAN
Draft: 2022 EDM · R1 #32

55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2626pctl

2525pctl

2626pctl

6060pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.1710pctl

0.1332pctl

0.043pctl

0.811pctl

-1217pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3%31pctl

1.2933pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5969pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.219pctl

14.390pctl

0.2638pctl

3.9797pctl

0:012pctl

0:0652pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 38 GP tracked · 6h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

40.4%3pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

34.8%6pctl

O-zone deployment?

36%10pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.6 min5pctl

Support received?

16.3 min86pctl

D-zone deployment?

64%90pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0213pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8653pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2130pctl

0.93×20pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.09/gm96pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.6%67pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 448 EV min

General Offense

5.2242

7.2342

Shot Setups/60?

0.6733

Chance Setups/60?

0.6743

Primary Contributions/60?

5.8938

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4044

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0032

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4034

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2744

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0039

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0025

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.9429

Rush Offense/60?

8.1756

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9470

0.8051

0.0023

Deflections/60?

1.7466

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0025

Entries Finished/60?

1.2175

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5459

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.9438

0.1332

0.8047

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Forechecking

9.7877

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.89M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Reid Schaefer	55	Depth Forward	8 P · 47 GP	$0.89M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	this player
Landon Slaggert	54	Depth Forward	7 P · 53 GP	$0.90M	$1.03M	C+$0.1M	94%
Arshdeep Bains	54	Depth Forward	5 P · 28 GP	$0.81M	$1.03M	C+$0.2M	89%
Danton Heinen	57	Depth Forward	12 P · 46 GP	$2.25M	$1.46M	D−$0.8M	88%
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel	58	Depth Forward	10 P · 45 GP	$0.78M	$1.64M	B+$0.9M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Fedor Svechkov · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Reid’s goals

Creates for

goals Reid assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:09 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:26 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:05 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:25 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-06

0G 0A · 2 shots · 9:54 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:09 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:23 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:47 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 6:36 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 04-16

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:19 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)83 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 3 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 35 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Nashville Predators	47	6	2	8	-12
Career	1 team	47	6	2	8	-12