Regular season

Jack Ahcan

Nashville Predators · D · #15

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?2 points and 6 blocks in 11 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'8"
WT: 180 lb
Age: 29
Shoots: L
From: Savage, USA

64Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3535pctl

5858pctl

4646pctl

3333pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.1823pctl

0.006pctl

0.1838pctl

0.718pctl

+254pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.2%7pctl

1.5543pctl

0.2892pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2728pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.550pctl

2.8310pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

3.44pctl

2.852pctl

0.000pctl

0:0217pctl

0:010pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 3 GP tracked · 1h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

77.9%100pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

15.7 min0pctl

Support received?

15.2 min100pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2518pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2028pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.10/gm93pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 126 EV min

General Offense

3.8054

4.7464

Shot Setups/60?

1.9067

Chance Setups/60?

1.9067

Primary Contributions/60?

5.6962

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4759

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0042

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.9067

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4766

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0043

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0037

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.9534

Rush Offense/60?

5.6951

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9567

0.4764

0.0040

Deflections/60?

0.0039

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0042

Entries Finished/60?

0.4763

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0037

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.9533

0.0033

0.9533

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0044

Forechecking

0.4754

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$3.09M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jack Ahcan	64	Depth Defenseman	2 P · 11 GP	$0.78M	$3.09M	A+$2.3M	this player
Tyler Tucker	61	Depth Defenseman	17 P · 69 GP	$0.93M	$2.35M	B+$1.4M	86%
Declan Chisholm	60	Depth Defenseman	7 P · 26 GP	$1.60M	$2.12M	C+$0.5M	84%
Max Crozier	67	Depth Defenseman	10 P · 35 GP	$0.82M	$3.91M	A+$3.1M	81%
Emil Andrae	60	Depth Defenseman	13 P · 61 GP	$0.90M	$2.12M	B+$1.2M	79%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Jack’s goals

No credited connections yet.

Creates for

goals Jack assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NJD

1P

0G 1A

vs NJD 10-28

0G 1A · 0 shots · 13:19 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 11-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:30 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 11-08

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:59 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 11-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:16 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 11-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:06 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 01-21

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:32 TOI

vs PHI

1P

0G 1A

vs PHI 01-23

0G 1A · 1 shots · 12:34 TOI

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR 01-25

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:46 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:06 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:45 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)25 events shown

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	Boston Bruins	3	0	0	0	-3
2021-22	Boston Bruins	6	1	0	1	-3
2024-25	Colorado Avalanche	2	0	0	0	0
2025-26	Colorado Avalanche	11	0	2	2	2
Career	2 teams	22	1	2	3	-4