Regular season

Jacob Quillan

Toronto Maple Leafs · C · #26

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?3 points in 23 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'1"
WT: 204 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Dartmouth, CAN

56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

1919pctl

4242pctl

2323pctl

4747pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.135pctl

0.046pctl

0.0910pctl

0.63pctl

-539pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.8%16pctl

0.9620pctl

0.1770pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2830pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

42.0%12pctl

D-Zone FO %?

43.6%26pctl

7.048pctl

0.5085pctl

0:017pctl

1:2866pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 19 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

37.3%1pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

26.7%2pctl

O-zone deployment?

32%6pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.8 min12pctl

Support received?

16.1 min89pctl

D-zone deployment?

68%94pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0533pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4531pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1926pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.19/gm63pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.1%57pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 202 EV min

General Offense

3.5629

4.1628

Shot Setups/60?

0.5935

Chance Setups/60?

0.5941

Primary Contributions/60?

4.1629

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5960

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0037

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.0028

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5969

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0042

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3069

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.3028

Rush Offense/60?

7.1245

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.1970

1.1966

0.0031

Deflections/60?

1.1944

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.3067

Entries Finished/60?

1.4871

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3039

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4863

0.0029

1.4870

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0041

Forechecking

10.9870

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.88M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jacob Quillan	56	Depth Forward	3 P · 23 GP	$0.88M	$1.30M	C+$0.4M	this player
Joshua Dunne	55	Depth Forward	4 P · 34 GP	$0.78M	$1.16M	C+$0.4M	96%
Juho Lammikko	55	Depth Forward	2 P · 24 GP	-	$1.16M	-	94%
Nick Cousins	58	Depth Forward	23 P · 81 GP	$0.82M	$1.64M	B+$0.8M	93%
Vinnie Hinostroza	58	Depth Forward	18 P · 65 GP	$0.78M	$1.64M	B+$0.9M	90%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Jacob’s goals

Steven Lorentz11 primary

Creates for

goals Jacob assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 03-24

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:13 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 03-25

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:02 TOI

@ STL

1P

0G 1A

@ STL 03-28

0G 1A · 0 shots · 16:07 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 03-30

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:19 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:32 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 04-08

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:01 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:24 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:50 TOI

vs DAL

1P

1G 0A

vs DAL 04-13

1G 0A · 2 shots · 12:26 TOI

@ OTT

1P

0G 1A

@ OTT 04-15

0G 1A · 0 shots · 12:51 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)80 events shown

Defensive floor: 14 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Toronto Maple Leafs	1	0	0	0	0
2025-26	Toronto Maple Leafs	23	1	2	3	-5
Career	1 team	24	1	2	3	-5