Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Detroit Red Wings 3@Tampa Bay Lightning 4
2026-04-13DET · TBL
CF%?
56.2%·43.8%
xGF%?
53.0%·47.0%
HDCF%?
51.6%·48.4%
5v5 xGF%?
51.0%·49.0%
5v5 CF%?
54.9%·45.1%
?
TBL wins ↑DET wins ↓
DET 49%Deserved to win?51% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.69 xG vs 2.73 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
DET 3@TBL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-04-13 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNikita KucherovTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.53 ixG80
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMarco KasperDET · 1G · 0.37 ixG · 1 blk72
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex DeBrincatDET · 1G · 0.82 ixG · 1 blk71DET
1Marco Kasper722Alex DeBrincat713
David Perron674
Patrick Kane635
J.T. Compher636
Justin Faulk627
James van Riemsdyk618
Ben Chiarot599
Moritz Seider5710
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård5511
Emmitt Finnie5512
Albert Johansson5513
Carter Mazur5514
Lucas Raymond5315
Andrew Copp5316
Simon Edvinsson5217
Dylan Larkin5018
Axel Sandin-Pellikka48
Marco Kasper722Alex DeBrincat713David Perron674Patrick Kane635J.T. Compher636Justin Faulk627James van Riemsdyk618Ben Chiarot599Moritz Seider5710Michael Brandsegg-Nygård5511Emmitt Finnie5512Albert Johansson5513Carter Mazur5514Lucas Raymond5315Andrew Copp5316Simon Edvinsson5217Dylan Larkin5018Axel Sandin-Pellikka48Goalies
TBL
1Nikita Kucherov802
Jake Guentzel663
Brayden Point664
Declan Carlile635
Conor Geekie626
Ryan McDonagh617
Erik Cernak618
J.J. Moser619
Oliver Bjorkstrand5810
Anthony Cirelli5611
Zemgus Girgensons5612
Gage Goncalves5413
Corey Perry5214
Emil Lilleberg5115
Scott Sabourin5116
Yanni Gourde5117
Nick Paul4918
Charle-Edouard D'Astous44
Nikita Kucherov802Jake Guentzel663Brayden Point664Declan Carlile635Conor Geekie626Ryan McDonagh617Erik Cernak618J.J. Moser619Oliver Bjorkstrand5810Anthony Cirelli5611Zemgus Girgensons5612Gage Goncalves5413Corey Perry5214Emil Lilleberg5115Scott Sabourin5116Yanni Gourde5117Nick Paul4918Charle-Edouard D'Astous44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1 (14) | 0 (6) | 2 (9) | 0 (1) | 3 |
| TBL | 1 (8) | 2 (11) | 0 (2) | 1 (1) | 4 |
| DET | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/1 |
| 12 | Hits | 12 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| DET | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.22 | Expected goals | 3.74 |
| 3.17 | 5v5 xG | 3.04 |
| 0.78 | Power-play xG | 0.46 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 30 | On goal | 22 |
| 16 | High-danger | 15 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 14 | Missed | 12 |
| 15 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.071 | xG per attempt | 0.081 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG78 of 105 attempts shown