Regular season

Axel Sandin-Pellikka

Detroit Red Wings · D · #44

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?21 points and 54 blocks in 68 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 186 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: R
From: Gallivare, SWE
Draft: 2023 DET · R1 #17

64Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6060pctl

5555pctl

6363pctl

1515pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.3158pctl

0.1077pctl

0.2149pctl

1.043pctl

-204pctl

781pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.8%16pctl

1.9157pctl

0.1355pctl

Def Suppression?

0.027pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.797pctl

2.9312pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

3.99pctl

0.910pctl

0.136pctl

1:4482pctl

0:1712pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 37 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.1%22pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

39.2%14pctl

O-zone deployment?

57%80pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.2 min37pctl

Support received?

16.6 min72pctl

D-zone deployment?

43%20pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0531pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.3023pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.118pctl

0.93×17pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm73pctl

Pressure escape rate?

10.5%93pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 965 EV min

General Offense

3.6755

4.1176

Shot Setups/60?

1.2482

Chance Setups/60?

1.0683

Primary Contributions/60?

4.9166

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3756

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0673

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5679

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1243

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0674

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0638

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.3681

Rush Offense/60?

6.2865

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.1220

0.1940

0.0656

Deflections/60?

0.0024

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0032

Entries Finished/60?

0.1929

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1257

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.5545

0.2523

2.3056

Retrieval Success %?

10%22

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%37

Forechecking

0.0612

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.92M

cap hit

$3.09M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Axel Sandin-Pellikka	64	Depth Defenseman	21 P · 68 GP	$0.92M	$3.09M	A+$2.2M	this player
Zayne Parekh	65	Depth Defenseman	9 P · 37 GP	$0.94M	$3.35M	A+$2.4M	86%
Sam Rinzel	66	Depth Defenseman	14 P · 54 GP	$0.94M	$3.63M	A+$2.7M	86%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	65	Depth Defenseman	39 P · 78 GP	$8.25M	$3.35M	F−$4.9M	83%
Zeev Buium	61	Depth Defenseman	26 P · 76 GP	$0.97M	$2.35M	B+$1.4M	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Lucas Raymond · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Axel’s goals

Creates for

goals Axel assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 9 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 02-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:38 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 02-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:21 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 03-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:16 TOI

vs VGK

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK 03-04

0G 1A · 1 shots · 9:37 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 03-06

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:56 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 16:51 TOI

vs MIN

2P

1G 1A

vs MIN 04-05

1G 1A · 2 shots · 15:04 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 04-07

0G 0A · 3 shots · 9:34 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:52 TOI

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:06 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)273 events shown

The office: the left point - 3 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 21 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 54 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Detroit Red Wings	68	7	14	21	-20
Career	1 team	68	7	14	21	-20