HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Ottawa Senators 7@Seattle Kraken 4

2026-03-07
OTT · SEA

CF%?

62.6%·37.4%

xGF%?

71.3%·28.7%

HDCF%?

80.6%·19.4%

5v5 xGF%?

69.7%·30.3%

5v5 CF%?

61.5%·38.5%

?
SEA wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 80%Deserved to win?20% SEA

the game's chances, replayed · 3.41 xG vs 1.75 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

OTT 7@SEA 4

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-03-07 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickShane PintoOTT · 1G · 2A · 0.55 ixG90★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMichael AmadioOTT · 1G · 1A · 0.32 ixG76★ 3rd star · our model’s pickThomas ChabotOTT · 2A · 0.18 ixG · 1 blk76

OTT

1Shane Pinto902Michael Amadio763Thomas Chabot764Brady Tkachuk765Dylan Cozens746Lars Eller747Drake Batherson728Tim Stützle709Nick Cousins6910Artem Zub6911Ridly Greig6612Warren Foegele6413Tyler Kleven6214Nick Jensen5815Jake Sanderson5816Claude Giroux5517Shane Wright5418Jordan Spence5419Fabian Zetterlund5020Adam Larsson48

Goalies

1Linus Ullmark40

SEA

1Cale Fleury702Jordan Eberle683Jacob Melanson664Matty Beniers655Eeli Tolvanen636Ben Meyers627Brandon Montour618Vince Dunn589Ryan Winterton5610Ryker Evans5411Jaden Schwartz5212Chandler Stephenson5113Berkly Catton5114Jared McCann5015Kaapo Kakko4716Jamie Oleksiak47

Goalies

1Joey Daccord40
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

8:45SEA

Jacob Melanson from Ben Meyers, Ryan Winterton

9:19OTT

Tyler Kleven from Shane Pinto, Michael Amadio

13:35OTT

Dylan Cozens from Thomas Chabot, Nick Jensen

Period 2

1:34OTT

Shane Pinto from Artem Zub, Nick Cousins

10:09OTT

Michael Amadio from Shane Pinto, Nick Cousins

15:00SEA

Eeli Tolvanen

Period 3

2:42OTT

Warren Foegele from Lars Eller

3:58OTT

Tim Stützle from Drake Batherson

7:24OTT

Brady Tkachuk from Thomas Chabot

10:16SEA

Matty Beniers from Cale Fleury, Jordan Eberle

17:45SEA

Brandon Montour from Vince Dunn, Jordan Eberle

PP
Goals (SOG)123T
OTT2 (13)2 (13)3 (11)7
SEA1 (5)1 (6)2 (10)4
OTTSEA
0/3Power play1/6
26Hits28
19Blocked shots9
5Takeaways6
10Giveaways16
37Faceoff wins26
OTTSEA
7Goals4
5.66Expected goals2.28
4.235v5 xG1.84
1.02Power-play xG0.44
72Shot attempts43
37On goal21
25High-danger6
4Rebound chances2
16Missed13
19Blocked9
0.079xG per attempt0.053
29 ftAvg shot distance35 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

OTT attackingSEA attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG87 of 115 attempts shown