Regular season

Jacob Melanson

Seattle Kraken · RW · #63

Depth playerWrecking Ball?188 hits (33.5/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'0"
WT: 207 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: R
From: Halifax, CAN
Draft: 2021 SEA · R5 #131

54Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2727pctl

2424pctl

2525pctl

2727pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.146pctl

0.0610pctl

0.089pctl

0.915pctl

-924pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.1%56pctl

0.9017pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1515pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.934pctl

33.5100pctl

0.2740pctl

2.3172pctl

0:013pctl

0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 23 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.2%62pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

16.7%0pctl

O-zone deployment?

33%7pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.4 min3pctl

Support received?

15.9 min92pctl

D-zone deployment?

67%93pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8753pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2539pctl

0.87×4pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm73pctl

Pressure escape rate?

4.1%1pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 337 EV min

General Offense

5.8854

11.0476

Shot Setups/60?

0.3623

Chance Setups/60?

0.3627

Primary Contributions/60?

6.2345

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3639

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0034

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3632

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0022

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0040

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0027

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0735

Rush Offense/60?

10.5173

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8965

0.7144

0.1855

Deflections/60?

1.2544

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.3675

Entries Finished/60?

1.6078

Entries w/ Chance/60?

1.2579

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.9676

0.3659

1.6077

Retrieval Success %?

18%37

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1877

Exit Success %?

9%72

Forechecking

18.7079

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0044

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.83M

cap hit

$1.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jacob Melanson	54	Wrecking Ball	5 P · 36 GP	$0.83M	$1.03M	C+$0.2M	this player
Tanner Pearson	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 56 GP	-	$1.16M	-	92%
Paul Cotter	54	Depth Forward	15 P · 79 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	92%
Nathan Bastian	55	Wrecking Ball	7 P · 36 GP	-	$1.16M	-	90%
Cole Reinhardt	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 59 GP	$0.81M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	90%

Chemistry

Top connection: Ryan Winterton · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jacob’s goals

Creates for

goals Jacob assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs OTT

1P

1G 0A

vs OTT 03-07

1G 0A · 1 shots · 11:10 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 03-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:25 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:31 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 03-17

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:14 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 03-19

0G 0A · 1 shots · 4:14 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 03-21

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:06 TOI

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:49 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:49 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 04-09

0G 0A · 4 shots · 9:01 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 7:41 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)80 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 2 goals live there

Defensive floor: 16 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Seattle Kraken	1	0	0	0	0
2025-26	Seattle Kraken	36	2	3	5	-9
Career	1 team	37	2	3	5	-9