Regular season

Eeli Tolvanen

- · RW · #20

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 187 hits (9.0/60)

HT: 5'10"
WT: 182 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: L
From: Vihti, FIN
Draft: 2017 NSH · R1 #30

68Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4747pctl

4949pctl

7272pctl

8383pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4655pctl

0.1539pctl

0.3164pctl

1.866pctl

-187pctl

1478pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.4%76pctl

2.9684pctl

0.0937pctl

Def Suppression?

1.0894pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.852pctl

9.080pctl

0.3768pctl

3.8895pctl

1:5061pctl

1:0277pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

42.3%7pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

41.7%19pctl

O-zone deployment?

37%11pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min90pctl

Support received?

18.3 min21pctl

D-zone deployment?

63%89pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0965pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0061pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3356pctl

0.97×40pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.35/gm11pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.5%42pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1027 EV min

General Offense

5.4947

7.8950

Shot Setups/60?

0.4114

Chance Setups/60?

0.1210

Primary Contributions/60?

5.9035

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2321

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1882

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2921

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1825

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0018

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9377

Rush Offense/60?

8.7166

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6445

0.4719

0.0017

Deflections/60?

1.1738

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1250

Entries Finished/60?

0.7653

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4750

Entry → Chance %?

62%48

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.1752

0.5380

0.6431

Retrieval Success %?

45%85

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1887

Exit Success %?

15%89

Forechecking

5.6769

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0681

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Eeli Tolvanen	68	Depth Forward	36 P · 78 GP	-	$3.94M	-	this player
Jaden Schwartz	70	Depth Forward	26 P · 50 GP	$5.50M	$4.50M	D−$1.0M	89%
Fabian Zetterlund	67	Depth Forward	33 P · 82 GP	$4.28M	$3.68M	C−$0.6M	82%
Simon Holmstrom	70	Depth Forward	41 P · 79 GP	$3.63M	$4.50M	B+$0.9M	79%
Alex Iafallo	66	Depth Forward	29 P · 79 GP	$3.67M	$3.42M	C−$0.2M	78%

Chemistry

Top connection: Chandler Stephenson · 11 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Eeli’s goals

Creates for

goals Eeli assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 21 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 03-28

0G 0A · 3 shots · 14:54 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 03-31

0G 0A · 3 shots · 12:30 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:04 TOI

vs CHI

1P

0G 1A

vs CHI 04-04

0G 1A · 0 shots · 14:22 TOI

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 04-06

0G 0A · 4 shots · 17:06 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 04-07

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:43 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:13 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 04-13

0G 0A · 3 shots · 14:44 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-15

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:57 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:54 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)294 events shown

The office: the left circle - 7 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 87 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2017-18	Nashville Predators	3	0	0	0	0
2018-19	Nashville Predators	4	1	1	2	2
2020-21	Nashville Predators	40	11	11	22	-10
2021-22	Nashville Predators	75	11	12	23	-7
2022-23	Nashville Predators	13	2	2	4	-2
2022-23	Seattle Kraken	48	16	11	27	10
2023-24	Seattle Kraken	81	16	25	41	-15
2024-25	Seattle Kraken	81	23	12	35	3
2025-26	Seattle Kraken	78	12	24	36	-18
Career	2 teams	423	92	98	190	-37