Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Dallas Stars 6@Calgary Flames 1
2026-03-03DAL · CGY
CF%?
59.0%·41.0%
xGF%?
64.9%·35.1%
HDCF%?
73.2%·26.8%
5v5 xGF%?
67.2%·32.8%
5v5 CF%?
60.6%·39.4%
?
CGY wins ↑DAL wins ↓
DAL 77%Deserved to win?23% CGY
the game's chances, replayed · 3.23 xG vs 1.76 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
DAL 6@CGY 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMatt DucheneDAL · 4A · 7 FOW · on-ice -0.63 xG95
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickSam SteelDAL · 2G · 1A · 0.13 ixG90
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickWyatt JohnstonDAL · 1G · 1A · 0.24 ixG77DAL
1Matt Duchene952Sam Steel903Wyatt Johnston774
Jamie Benn725
Adam Erne716
Nils Lundkvist697
Jason Robertson698
Nathan Bastian659
Esa Lindell6310
Colin Blackwell6311
Thomas Harley6312
Oskar Bäck6213
Justin Hryckowian6114
Mavrik Bourque5915
Ilya Lyubushkin5816
Lian Bichsel5617
Arttu Hyry5418
Miro Heiskanen53
Matt Duchene952Sam Steel903Wyatt Johnston774Jamie Benn725Adam Erne716Nils Lundkvist697Jason Robertson698Nathan Bastian659Esa Lindell6310Colin Blackwell6311Thomas Harley6312Oskar Bäck6213Justin Hryckowian6114Mavrik Bourque5915Ilya Lyubushkin5816Lian Bichsel5617Arttu Hyry5418Miro Heiskanen53Goalies
CGY
1
Morgan Frost642
Adam Klapka623
Blake Coleman594
Connor Zary555
Mikael Backlund536
Ryan Lomberg537
John Beecher528
Nazem Kadri529
Joel Farabee5210
Zayne Parekh5011
Joel Hanley5012
Zach Whitecloud4913
Kevin Bahl4714
Matt Coronato4615
Matvei Gridin4516
Yegor Sharangovich4517
Yan Kuznetsov4118
MacKenzie Weegar40
Morgan Frost642Adam Klapka623Blake Coleman594Connor Zary555Mikael Backlund536Ryan Lomberg537John Beecher528Nazem Kadri529Joel Farabee5210Zayne Parekh5011Joel Hanley5012Zach Whitecloud4913Kevin Bahl4714Matt Coronato4615Matvei Gridin4516Yegor Sharangovich4517Yan Kuznetsov4118MacKenzie Weegar40Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 2 (11) | 4 (11) | 0 (13) | 6 |
| CGY | 1 (9) | 0 (5) | 0 (7) | 1 |
| DAL | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/6 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 16 | Hits | 18 |
| 25 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 22 |
| 36 | Faceoff wins | 24 |
| DAL | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Goals | 1 |
| 6.05 | Expected goals | 3.28 |
| 4.85 | 5v5 xG | 2.36 |
| 1.06 | Power-play xG | 0.71 |
| 69 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 35 | On goal | 21 |
| 30 | High-danger | 11 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 9 | Missed | 13 |
| 25 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.088 | xG per attempt | 0.068 |
| 26 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG78 of 117 attempts shown