Regular season

Adam Erne

- · LW · #73

Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?142 hits (18.9/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'1"
WT: 209 lb
Age: 31
Shoots: L
From: New Haven, USA
Draft: 2013 TBL · R2 #33

56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3232pctl

2020pctl

4040pctl

7575pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.1811pctl

0.1333pctl

0.043pctl

1.018pctl

+163pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.9%42pctl

1.8053pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6272pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.731pctl

18.996pctl

0.5389pctl

2.6681pctl

0:016pctl

0:0242pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 26 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.6%20pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

40.0%15pctl

O-zone deployment?

41%20pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min17pctl

Support received?

16.4 min83pctl

D-zone deployment?

59%80pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0532pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7144pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3049pctl

0.88×5pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.09/gm95pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.0%4pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 448 EV min

General Offense

5.7652

8.8562

Shot Setups/60?

1.2166

Chance Setups/60?

1.2178

Primary Contributions/60?

6.9756

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5459

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0032

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.0779

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5474

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1379

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2775

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.1477

Rush Offense/60?

7.1042

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4027

1.0768

0.2771

Deflections/60?

2.0173

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0025

Entries Finished/60?

1.2175

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5459

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.5421

0.4065

0.1318

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Forechecking

12.7381

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Adam Erne	56	Wrecking Ball	8 P · 45 GP	-	$1.30M	-	this player
Jeff Malott	54	Wrecking Ball	9 P · 58 GP	$0.78M	$1.03M	C+$0.3M	90%
Danton Heinen	57	Depth Forward	12 P · 46 GP	$2.25M	$1.46M	D−$0.8M	88%
Adam Klapka	55	Wrecking Ball	18 P · 79 GP	$1.25M	$1.16M	C−$0.1M	87%
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel	58	Depth Forward	10 P · 45 GP	$0.78M	$1.64M	B+$0.9M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Arttu Hyry · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Adam’s goals

Creates for

goals Adam assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 9 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:28 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 03-26

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:28 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 03-29

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:39 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:29 TOI

vs WPG

2P

1G 1A

vs WPG 04-02

1G 1A · 1 shots · 10:50 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:19 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:56 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:35 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:32 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 04-15

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:23 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)87 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 4 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 9 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 25 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2016-17	Tampa Bay Lightning	26	3	0	3	-9
2017-18	Tampa Bay Lightning	23	3	1	4	-1
2018-19	Tampa Bay Lightning	65	7	13	20	10
2019-20	Detroit Red Wings	56	2	3	5	-24
2020-21	Detroit Red Wings	45	11	9	20	-1
2021-22	Detroit Red Wings	79	6	13	19	-22
2022-23	Detroit Red Wings	61	8	10	18	-12
2023-24	Edmonton Oilers	24	1	1	2	0
2025-26	Dallas Stars	45	6	2	8	1
Career	4 teams	424	47	52	99	-58