Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 2@Detroit Red Wings 3
2025-12-28TOR · DET
CF%?
45.7%·54.3%
xGF%?
49.9%·50.1%
HDCF%?
51.4%·48.6%
5v5 xGF%?
43.3%·56.7%
5v5 CF%?
42.5%·57.5%
?
DET wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 38%Deserved to win?62% DET
the game's chances, replayed · 2.45 xG vs 3.10 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 2@DET 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJohn TavaresTOR · 2A · 0.28 ixG · 1 tk76
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickMoritz SeiderDET · 1G · 0.19 ixG · 3 blk71
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSimon EdvinssonDET · 1G · 0.27 ixG · 2 blk70TOR
1John Tavares762
Nicholas Robertson703
Matthew Knies694
Auston Matthews695
Dakota Joshua636
Nicolas Roy577
Chris Tanev548
Philippe Myers549
Bobby McMann5310
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5211
Troy Stecher5212
Morgan Rielly5113
Easton Cowan5014
Scott Laughton4815
Matias Maccelli4816
Jake McCabe4617
Max Domi4618
Steven Lorentz45
John Tavares762Nicholas Robertson703Matthew Knies694Auston Matthews695Dakota Joshua636Nicolas Roy577Chris Tanev548Philippe Myers549Bobby McMann5310Oliver Ekman-Larsson5211Troy Stecher5212Morgan Rielly5113Easton Cowan5014Scott Laughton4815Matias Maccelli4816Jake McCabe4617Max Domi4618Steven Lorentz45Goalies
DET
1Moritz Seider712Simon Edvinsson703
Albert Johansson654
Mason Appleton645
Lucas Raymond636
Andrew Copp607
Alex DeBrincat608
Ben Chiarot609
Emmitt Finnie5910
Marco Kasper5711
John Leonard5712
Nate Danielson5713
Dylan Larkin5614
Michael Rasmussen5615
Patrick Kane5316
Axel Sandin-Pellikka5017
Jacob Bernard-Docker4718
J.T. Compher40
Moritz Seider712Simon Edvinsson703Albert Johansson654Mason Appleton645Lucas Raymond636Andrew Copp607Alex DeBrincat608Ben Chiarot609Emmitt Finnie5910Marco Kasper5711John Leonard5712Nate Danielson5713Dylan Larkin5614Michael Rasmussen5615Patrick Kane5316Axel Sandin-Pellikka5017Jacob Bernard-Docker4718J.T. Compher40Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 (8) | 1 (9) | 1 (9) | 0 (1) | 2 |
| DET | 0 (8) | 1 (13) | 1 (12) | 1 (3) | 3 |
| TOR | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 24 | Hits | 12 |
| 17 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 11 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| TOR | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.44 | Expected goals | 4.47 |
| 2.93 | 5v5 xG | 3.83 |
| 1.38 | Power-play xG | 0.29 |
| 58 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 27 | On goal | 36 |
| 19 | High-danger | 18 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 14 | Missed | 19 |
| 17 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.077 | xG per attempt | 0.065 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG96 of 127 attempts shown