Regular season

John Leonard

Detroit Red Wings · LW · #43

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?4 points in 11 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'11"
WT: 192 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: L
From: Westwood, USA
Draft: 2018 SJS · R6 #182

64Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4444pctl

3535pctl

4747pctl

4949pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3639pctl

0.1848pctl

0.1836pctl

1.021pctl

-346pctl

241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.3%48pctl

1.6848pctl

0.002pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5059pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.219pctl

5.763pctl

0.156pctl

4.2698pctl

1:1043pctl

0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 9 GP tracked · 2h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.2%46pctl

O-zone deployment?

52%58pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.0 min23pctl

Support received?

17.6 min40pctl

D-zone deployment?

48%42pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1070pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9357pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.6092pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.10/gm93pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.9%11pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 114 EV min

General Offense

5.8152

8.9857

Shot Setups/60?

1.5865

Chance Setups/60?

1.5866

Primary Contributions/60?

7.3955

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0034

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0041

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.5866

High-Danger Setups/60?

1.0666

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0045

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0037

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.6466

Rush Offense/60?

7.9252

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.5866

1.5865

0.0037

Deflections/60?

3.1766

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0037

Entries Finished/60?

1.0660

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5354

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.1165

0.5362

1.5865

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0044

Forechecking

4.2253

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0047

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$2.92M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
John Leonard	64	Depth Forward	4 P · 11 GP	$0.78M	$2.92M	A+$2.1M	this player
Nicholas Robertson	65	Depth Forward	32 P · 78 GP	$1.82M	$3.17M	B+$1.3M	91%
Nick Paul	61	Depth Forward	15 P · 51 GP	$3.15M	$2.24M	D−$0.9M	89%
Zachary Bolduc	64	Depth Forward	30 P · 78 GP	$0.86M	$2.92M	A+$2.1M	87%
Danila Yurov	61	Depth Forward	27 P · 73 GP	$0.95M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Andrew Copp · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on John’s goals

Creates for

goals John assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 2 G · 2 A · 9 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs UTA

1P

0G 1A

vs UTA 12-17

0G 1A · 0 shots · 12:08 TOI

@ WSH

1P

1G 0A

@ WSH 12-20

1G 0A · 1 shots · 12:57 TOI

vs WSH

1P

1G 0A

vs WSH 12-21

1G 0A · 2 shots · 14:00 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 12-23

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:33 TOI

@ CAR

1P

0G 1A

@ CAR 12-27

0G 1A · 0 shots · 12:40 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 12-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:31 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 01-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:03 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 01-08

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:17 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 03-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 9:10 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 03-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:10 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)30 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 2 goals live there

Defensive floor: 10 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	San Jose Sharks	44	3	10	13	-7
2021-22	San Jose Sharks	14	1	1	2	-5
2022-23	Nashville Predators	6	1	0	1	0
2023-24	Arizona Coyotes	6	1	0	1	-1
2025-26	Detroit Red Wings	11	2	2	4	-3
Career	4 teams	81	8	13	21	-16