Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Florida Panthers 5@Tampa Bay Lightning 2
2025-12-15FLA · TBL
CF%?
35.1%·64.9%
xGF%?
43.6%·56.4%
HDCF%?
46.2%·53.8%
5v5 xGF%?
33.8%·66.2%
5v5 CF%?
29.4%·70.6%
?
TBL wins ↑FLA wins ↓
FLA 44%Deserved to win?56% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 1.94 xG vs 2.19 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
FLA 5@TBL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-12-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickSam ReinhartFLA · 2G · 0.59 ixG · 2 blk83
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickCarter VerhaegheFLA · 1G · 1A · 0.24 ixG75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBrayden PointTBL · 2A · 0.32 ixG · 2 gv71FLA
1Sam Reinhart832Carter Verhaeghe753
Anton Lundell704
Uvis Balinskis685
Aaron Ekblad686
Seth Jones687
Mackie Samoskevich668
Brad Marchand659
Sam Bennett5610
Evan Rodrigues5511
A.J. Greer5512
Jeff Petry4913
Jack Studnicka4814
Noah Gregor4815
Niko Mikkola42
Sam Reinhart832Carter Verhaeghe753Anton Lundell704Uvis Balinskis685Aaron Ekblad686Seth Jones687Mackie Samoskevich668Brad Marchand659Sam Bennett5610Evan Rodrigues5511A.J. Greer5512Jeff Petry4913Jack Studnicka4814Noah Gregor4815Niko Mikkola42Goalies
TBL
1Brayden Point712
J.J. Moser703
Oliver Bjorkstrand674
Max Crozier655
Darren Raddysh646
Nick Paul597
Jake Guentzel588
Zemgus Girgensons579
Nikita Kucherov5510
Pontus Holmberg5511
Anthony Cirelli5412
Declan Carlile5213
Yanni Gourde5214
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5115
Brandon Hagel5116
Steven Santini5017
Curtis Douglas5018
Gustav Forsling5019
Jesper Boqvist4920
Scott Sabourin48
Brayden Point712J.J. Moser703Oliver Bjorkstrand674Max Crozier655Darren Raddysh646Nick Paul597Jake Guentzel588Zemgus Girgensons579Nikita Kucherov5510Pontus Holmberg5511Anthony Cirelli5412Declan Carlile5213Yanni Gourde5214Charle-Edouard D'Astous5115Brandon Hagel5116Steven Santini5017Curtis Douglas5018Gustav Forsling5019Jesper Boqvist4920Scott Sabourin48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 2 (8) | 2 (13) | 1 (3) | 5 |
| TBL | 0 (13) | 1 (5) | 1 (10) | 2 |
| FLA | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | Power play | 0/8 |
| 25 | Hits | 33 |
| 5 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| FLA | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 2 |
| 2.83 | Expected goals | 3.67 |
| 1.25 | 5v5 xG | 2.45 |
| 1.51 | Power-play xG | 1.17 |
| 34 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 24 | On goal | 28 |
| 12 | High-danger | 14 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 5 | Missed | 18 |
| 5 | Blocked | 17 |
| 0.083 | xG per attempt | 0.058 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 40 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG75 of 97 attempts shown