HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Steven Santini

Tampa Bay Lightning · D · #16
Depth DDepth Defenseman?1 points and 7 blocks in 12 games in a supporting role
HT
6'3"
WT
217 lb
Age
31
Shoots
R
From
Bronxville, USA
Draft
2013 NJD · R2 #42
58Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2727pctl
Playmaking?
2828pctl
Transition?
3434pctl
Defense?
2929pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.085pctl
Goals / GP?
0.006pctl
Assists / GP?
0.088pctl
Shots / GP?
0.30pctl
Plus/Minus?
+151pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
0.6%1pctl
ZEIS?
0.6710pctl
PSPL?
0.002pctl
Def Suppression?
-0.292pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
0.581pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.3824pctl
Hits / 60?
4.373pctl
Take : Give?
0.000pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:018pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:119pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 5 GP tracked · 1h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.5 min4pctl
Support received?
15.2 min100pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 122 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.81M

cap hit

$1.70M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Steven Santini58$0.81MB+$0.9Mthis player
Jacob Bryson57$0.90MC+$0.6M85%
Zach Metsa54$0.78MC+$0.3M85%
Michael Kesselring57$1.40MC+$0.1M84%
Jake Christiansen55$0.97MC+$0.2M84%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Steven’s goals

No credited connections yet.

Creates for

goals Steven assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 3 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

1P

0G 1A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)28 events shown

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16New Jersey Devils10002
2016-17New Jersey Devils38257-6
2017-18New Jersey Devils3628100
2018-19New Jersey Devils39134-6
2019-20Nashville Predators20001
2020-21St. Louis Blues30111
2022-23St. Louis Blues40110
2024-25Tampa Bay Lightning10000
2025-26Tampa Bay Lightning120111
Career4 teams13651924-7