Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Dallas Stars 1@Tampa Bay Lightning 2
2025-10-30DAL · TBL
CF%?
39.1%·60.9%
xGF%?
37.5%·62.5%
HDCF%?
42.4%·57.6%
5v5 xGF%?
34.2%·65.8%
5v5 CF%?
38.4%·61.6%
?
TBL wins ↑DAL wins ↓
DAL 17%Deserved to win?83% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.29 xG vs 4.50 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
DAL 1@TBL 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2025-10-30 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJake OettingerDAL · 31 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.9083
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 20 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.3172
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAnthony CirelliTBL · 1G · 0.55 ixG · 1 gv67DAL
1
Alexander Petrovic662
Adam Erne623
Radek Faksa614
Jason Robertson605
Esa Lindell586
Ilya Lyubushkin557
Wyatt Johnston558
Sam Steel539
Lian Bichsel5310
Justin Hryckowian5211
Mikko Rantanen5212
Nathan Bastian5213
Miro Heiskanen5114
Thomas Harley5015
Colin Blackwell5016
Tyler Seguin4917
Kyle Capobianco47
Alexander Petrovic662Adam Erne623Radek Faksa614Jason Robertson605Esa Lindell586Ilya Lyubushkin557Wyatt Johnston558Sam Steel539Lian Bichsel5310Justin Hryckowian5211Mikko Rantanen5212Nathan Bastian5213Miro Heiskanen5114Thomas Harley5015Colin Blackwell5016Tyler Seguin4917Kyle Capobianco47Goalies
TBL
1Anthony Cirelli672
Gage Goncalves653
Brandon Hagel644
Charle-Edouard D'Astous625
Brayden Point606
Ryan McDonagh607
Oliver Bjorkstrand588
Nikita Kucherov589
Jake Guentzel5610
Erik Cernak5611
Zemgus Girgensons5412
Emil Lilleberg5413
Pontus Holmberg5214
Mavrik Bourque5015
J.J. Moser5016
Dominic James5017
Yanni Gourde4918
Victor Hedman48
Anthony Cirelli672Gage Goncalves653Brandon Hagel644Charle-Edouard D'Astous625Brayden Point606Ryan McDonagh607Oliver Bjorkstrand588Nikita Kucherov589Jake Guentzel5610Erik Cernak5611Zemgus Girgensons5412Emil Lilleberg5413Pontus Holmberg5214Mavrik Bourque5015J.J. Moser5016Dominic James5017Yanni Gourde4918Victor Hedman48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 0 (6) | 0 (4) | 1 (10) | 0 (1) | 1 |
| TBL | 0 (11) | 1 (11) | 0 (8) | 1 (3) | 2 |
| DAL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 30 | Hits | 21 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 20 |
| DAL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 2 |
| 3.65 | Expected goals | 6.08 |
| 2.19 | 5v5 xG | 4.23 |
| 1.26 | Power-play xG | 1.41 |
| 45 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 21 | On goal | 33 |
| 14 | High-danger | 19 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 7 |
| 9 | Missed | 25 |
| 15 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.081 | xG per attempt | 0.087 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG88 of 115 attempts shown