Regular season

Brennan Othmann

Calgary Flames · LW · #78

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?3 points in 19 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 192 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: L
From: Pickering, CAN
Draft: 2021 NYR · R1 #16

57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3131pctl

2121pctl

3737pctl

5959pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.169pctl

0.1125pctl

0.054pctl

0.88pctl

-827pctl

135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4%43pctl

1.5543pctl

0.002pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4756pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

4.711pctl

13.990pctl

0.4075pctl

2.5277pctl

0:1625pctl

0:0240pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 11 GP tracked · 2h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

43.4%10pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

15.4%0pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.3 min2pctl

Support received?

15.5 min96pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0640pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5636pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2435pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.29/gm24pctl

Pressure escape rate?

13.1%100pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 184 EV min

General Offense

4.8840

6.8440

Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Chance Setups/60?

0.0028

Primary Contributions/60?

4.8833

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0029

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0038

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.0029

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0029

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0043

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0033

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.9837

Rush Offense/60?

6.5140

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3332

0.3331

0.6572

Deflections/60?

0.9838

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0033

Entries Finished/60?

1.6371

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6563

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.6532

0.3354

0.3330

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0041

Forechecking

10.4268

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.3372

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.86M

cap hit

$1.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Brennan Othmann	57	Depth Forward	3 P · 19 GP	$0.86M	$1.46M	C+$0.6M	this player
Danton Heinen	57	Depth Forward	12 P · 46 GP	$2.25M	$1.46M	D−$0.8M	94%
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel	58	Depth Forward	10 P · 45 GP	$0.78M	$1.64M	B+$0.9M	91%
Andrew Mangiapane	57	Depth Forward	16 P · 62 GP	$3.60M	$1.46M	D−$2.1M	90%
Reid Schaefer	55	Depth Forward	8 P · 47 GP	$0.89M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	90%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Brennan’s goals

Creates for

goals Brennan assisted on

Adam Klapka11 as primary

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 7 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 01-19

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:33 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 01-20

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:28 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 01-23

0G 0A · 2 shots · 9:01 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 01-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:57 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 01-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:48 TOI

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 01-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:02 TOI

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 01-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:16 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 02-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:23 TOI

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

vs VAN 03-28

0G 1A · 1 shots · 10:12 TOI

@ COL

1P

1G 0A

@ COL 03-30

1G 0A · 1 shots · 11:55 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)30 events shown

The office: the left circle - 1 of 2 goals live there

Defensive floor: 9 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	New York Rangers	3	0	0	0	0
2024-25	New York Rangers	22	0	2	2	7
2025-26	New York Rangers	17	1	0	1	-4
2025-26	Calgary Flames	2	1	1	2	-4
Career	2 teams	44	2	3	5	-1