Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 1@Ottawa Senators 3
2026-04-15TOR · OTT
CF%?
37.5%·62.5%
xGF%?
28.8%·71.2%
HDCF%?
36.7%·63.3%
5v5 xGF%?
40.8%·59.2%
5v5 CF%?
41.3%·58.7%
?
OTT wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 19%Deserved to win?81% OTT
the game's chances, replayed · 1.71 xG vs 3.44 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
TOR 1@OTT 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-04-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickClaude GirouxOTT · 2A · 0.50 ixG · 1 tk83
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickDennis HildebyTOR · 35 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.4178
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickDylan CozensOTT · 1G · 1.01 ixG · 1 gv73TOR
1
William Nylander652
Jacob Quillan643
Steven Lorentz574
Max Domi565
John Tavares556
Ryan Tverberg547
Matthew Knies548
Michael Pezzetta549
Matias Maccelli5210
Troy Stecher5211
William Villeneuve5212
Simon Benoit5213
Easton Cowan5114
Nicholas Robertson4915
Morgan Rielly4816
Luke Haymes4817
Jake McCabe4818
Oliver Ekman-Larsson45
William Nylander652Jacob Quillan643Steven Lorentz574Max Domi565John Tavares556Ryan Tverberg547Matthew Knies548Michael Pezzetta549Matias Maccelli5210Troy Stecher5211William Villeneuve5212Simon Benoit5213Easton Cowan5114Nicholas Robertson4915Morgan Rielly4816Luke Haymes4817Jake McCabe4818Oliver Ekman-Larsson45Goalies
OTT
1Claude Giroux832Dylan Cozens733
Fabian Zetterlund694
Warren Foegele675
Lassi Thomson656
Shane Pinto647
Drake Batherson648
Jordan Spence599
Hayden Hodgson5710
Kurtis MacDermid5711
Nick Cousins5612
Ridly Greig5413
Lars Eller5214
Artem Zub5215
Stephen Halliday5116
Dennis Gilbert5017
Cameron Crotty4918
Nikolas Matinpalo40
Claude Giroux832Dylan Cozens733Fabian Zetterlund694Warren Foegele675Lassi Thomson656Shane Pinto647Drake Batherson648Jordan Spence599Hayden Hodgson5710Kurtis MacDermid5711Nick Cousins5612Ridly Greig5413Lars Eller5214Artem Zub5215Stephen Halliday5116Dennis Gilbert5017Cameron Crotty4918Nikolas Matinpalo40Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 (6) | 0 (6) | 1 (8) | 1 |
| OTT | 1 (14) | 1 (12) | 1 (12) | 3 |
| TOR | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 2/3 |
| 28 | Hits | 27 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 23 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| TOR | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 3 |
| 2.83 | Expected goals | 6.99 |
| 2.26 | 5v5 xG | 3.28 |
| 0.57 | Power-play xG | 0.73 |
| 42 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 20 | On goal | 38 |
| 11 | High-danger | 19 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 13 | Missed | 19 |
| 9 | Blocked | 13 |
| 0.067 | xG per attempt | 0.100 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 36 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG90 of 112 attempts shown