Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 3@Florida Panthers 6
2026-03-31OTT · FLA
CF%?
50.0%·50.0%
xGF%?
42.9%·57.1%
HDCF%?
47.1%·52.9%
5v5 xGF%?
41.5%·58.5%
5v5 CF%?
47.4%·52.6%
?
FLA wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 26%Deserved to win?74% FLA
the game's chances, replayed · 3.08 xG vs 4.66 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
OTT 3@FLA 6
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-31 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMatthew TkachukFLA · 1G · 3A · 0.98 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickCarter VerhaegheFLA · 2G · 1A · 1.22 ixG98
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSeth JonesFLA · 3A · 0.17 ixG · 1 blk85OTT
1
Michael Amadio712
Tim Stützle703
Lassi Thomson664
Ridly Greig635
Jordan Spence636
Drake Batherson637
Dylan Cozens578
Lars Eller569
Fabian Zetterlund5510
Brady Tkachuk5411
Artem Zub5212
Warren Foegele5013
Nikolas Matinpalo5014
Carter Yakemchuk5015
Tyler Kleven4916
Claude Giroux4917
Nick Cousins4618
Shane Pinto40
Michael Amadio712Tim Stützle703Lassi Thomson664Ridly Greig635Jordan Spence636Drake Batherson637Dylan Cozens578Lars Eller569Fabian Zetterlund5510Brady Tkachuk5411Artem Zub5212Warren Foegele5013Nikolas Matinpalo5014Carter Yakemchuk5015Tyler Kleven4916Claude Giroux4917Nick Cousins4618Shane Pinto40Goalies
FLA
1Matthew Tkachuk992Carter Verhaeghe983Seth Jones854
Sam Bennett715
Mackie Samoskevich716
Noah Gregor687
A.J. Greer668
Eetu Luostarinen669
Tomas Nosek6510
Donovan Sebrango6111
Jesper Boqvist5512
Aaron Ekblad5413
Luke Kunin5414
Cole Reinhardt5215
Dmitry Kulikov5216
Gustav Forsling5217
Mike Benning5118
Vinnie Hinostroza48
Matthew Tkachuk992Carter Verhaeghe983Seth Jones854Sam Bennett715Mackie Samoskevich716Noah Gregor687A.J. Greer668Eetu Luostarinen669Tomas Nosek6510Donovan Sebrango6111Jesper Boqvist5512Aaron Ekblad5413Luke Kunin5414Cole Reinhardt5215Dmitry Kulikov5216Gustav Forsling5217Mike Benning5118Vinnie Hinostroza48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 0 (6) | 2 (7) | 1 (13) | 3 |
| FLA | 5 (18) | 1 (7) | 0 (4) | 6 |
| OTT | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/5 | Power play | 2/3 |
| 17 | Hits | 18 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 1 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 34 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| OTT | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 6 |
| 4.30 | Expected goals | 5.71 |
| 2.25 | 5v5 xG | 3.16 |
| 1.98 | Power-play xG | 1.76 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 26 | On goal | 29 |
| 16 | High-danger | 18 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 19 | Missed | 23 |
| 14 | Blocked | 7 |
| 0.073 | xG per attempt | 0.097 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG97 of 118 attempts shown