Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Seattle Kraken 2@Buffalo Sabres 3
2026-03-28SEA · BUF
CF%?
44.0%·56.0%
xGF%?
46.3%·53.7%
HDCF%?
50.0%·50.0%
5v5 xGF%?
44.7%·55.3%
5v5 CF%?
43.7%·56.3%
?
BUF wins ↑SEA wins ↓
SEA 43%Deserved to win?57% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 3.29 xG vs 3.71 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
SEA 2@BUF 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 32 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.3877
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickKaapo KakkoSEA · 2A · 0.10 ixG · 2 FOW75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBobby McMannSEA · 1G · 1A · 0.34 ixG73SEA
1Kaapo Kakko752Bobby McMann733
Chandler Stephenson704
Ben Meyers595
Brandon Montour596
Berkly Catton587
Frederick Gaudreau588
Matty Beniers569
Oscar Fisker Molgaard5510
Ryker Evans5411
Eeli Tolvanen5412
Jared McCann5313
Jordan Eberle5214
Vince Dunn5215
Shane Wright5116
Ryan Lindgren4817
Adam Larsson45
Kaapo Kakko752Bobby McMann733Chandler Stephenson704Ben Meyers595Brandon Montour596Berkly Catton587Frederick Gaudreau588Matty Beniers569Oscar Fisker Molgaard5510Ryker Evans5411Eeli Tolvanen5412Jared McCann5313Jordan Eberle5214Vince Dunn5215Shane Wright5116Ryan Lindgren4817Adam Larsson45Goalies
BUF
1
Tage Thompson672
Zach Benson673
Peyton Krebs664
Jack Quinn635
Rasmus Dahlin606
Beck Malenstyn607
Alex Tuch598
Sam Carrick589
Jason Zucker5810
Logan Stanley5711
Josh Norris5712
Ryan McLeod5513
Conor Timmins5414
Mattias Samuelsson5415
Owen Power5116
Bowen Byram5117
Jamie Oleksiak5018
Josh Doan4719
Tyson Kozak45
Tage Thompson672Zach Benson673Peyton Krebs664Jack Quinn635Rasmus Dahlin606Beck Malenstyn607Alex Tuch598Sam Carrick589Jason Zucker5810Logan Stanley5711Josh Norris5712Ryan McLeod5513Conor Timmins5414Mattias Samuelsson5415Owen Power5116Bowen Byram5117Jamie Oleksiak5018Josh Doan4719Tyson Kozak45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 1 (11) | 1 (14) | 0 (9) | 0 (0) | 2 |
| BUF | 0 (10) | 1 (17) | 1 (6) | 0 (3) | 3 |
| SEA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/5 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 14 | Hits | 27 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 18 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| SEA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.44 | Expected goals | 5.14 |
| 2.90 | 5v5 xG | 3.58 |
| 1.46 | Power-play xG | 1.12 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 34 | On goal | 36 |
| 15 | High-danger | 15 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 14 | Missed | 20 |
| 11 | Blocked | 19 |
| 0.075 | xG per attempt | 0.069 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG104 of 134 attempts shown