Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 2@Tampa Bay Lightning 4
2026-03-28OTT · TBL
CF%?
40.8%·59.2%
xGF%?
42.3%·57.7%
HDCF%?
46.7%·53.3%
5v5 xGF%?
46.7%·53.3%
5v5 CF%?
41.1%·58.9%
?
TBL wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 50%Deserved to win?50% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.13 xG vs 3.12 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
OTT 2@TBL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 1G · 1A · 1.27 ixG88
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickEmil LillebergTBL · 1G · 2A · 0.13 ixG78
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickCharle-Edouard D'AstousTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.06 ixG73OTT
1
Jordan Spence702
Tyler Kleven673
Nick Cousins644
Dylan Cozens635
Artem Zub626
Brady Tkachuk607
Claude Giroux608
Fabian Zetterlund579
Drake Batherson5710
Lars Eller5711
Shane Pinto5612
Michael Amadio5513
Ridly Greig5414
Tim Stützle5315
Warren Foegele5116
Lassi Thomson5017
Nikolas Matinpalo4518
Carter Yakemchuk43
Jordan Spence702Tyler Kleven673Nick Cousins644Dylan Cozens635Artem Zub626Brady Tkachuk607Claude Giroux608Fabian Zetterlund579Drake Batherson5710Lars Eller5711Shane Pinto5612Michael Amadio5513Ridly Greig5414Tim Stützle5315Warren Foegele5116Lassi Thomson5017Nikolas Matinpalo4518Carter Yakemchuk43Goalies
TBL
1Brandon Hagel882Emil Lilleberg783Charle-Edouard D'Astous734
Jake Guentzel715
Corey Perry706
Yanni Gourde657
Gage Goncalves618
Zemgus Girgensons599
J.J. Moser5810
Darren Raddysh5611
Scott Sabourin5412
Pontus Holmberg5413
Brayden Point5414
Anthony Cirelli5215
Oliver Bjorkstrand5116
Steven Santini5017
Ryan McDonagh4918
Erik Cernak47
Brandon Hagel882Emil Lilleberg783Charle-Edouard D'Astous734Jake Guentzel715Corey Perry706Yanni Gourde657Gage Goncalves618Zemgus Girgensons599J.J. Moser5810Darren Raddysh5611Scott Sabourin5412Pontus Holmberg5413Brayden Point5414Anthony Cirelli5215Oliver Bjorkstrand5116Steven Santini5017Ryan McDonagh4918Erik Cernak47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 2 (11) | 0 (8) | 0 (9) | 2 |
| TBL | 0 (8) | 2 (11) | 2 (8) | 4 |
| OTT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/5 |
| 23 | Hits | 21 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 24 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 1 |
| 18 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 35 | Faceoff wins | 29 |
| OTT | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.23 | Expected goals | 5.78 |
| 3.20 | 5v5 xG | 3.64 |
| 0.75 | Power-play xG | 0.73 |
| 53 | Shot attempts | 77 |
| 28 | On goal | 27 |
| 14 | High-danger | 16 |
| 6 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 12 | Missed | 26 |
| 13 | Blocked | 24 |
| 0.080 | xG per attempt | 0.075 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 36 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG93 of 130 attempts shown