Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Carolina Hurricanes 4@Toronto Maple Leafs 3
2026-03-20CAR · TOR
CF%?
64.2%·35.8%
xGF%?
72.4%·27.6%
HDCF%?
76.3%·23.7%
5v5 xGF%?
64.3%·35.7%
5v5 CF%?
58.2%·41.8%
?
TOR wins ↑CAR wins ↓
CAR 83%Deserved to win?17% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 4.09 xG vs 2.01 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
CAR 4@TOR 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-20 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickSeth JarvisCAR · 2A · 0.39 ixG · 2 tk83
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 2A · 0.31 ixG · 1 blk74
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickEric RobinsonCAR · 1G · 0.34 ixG · 1 blk73CAR
1Seth Jarvis832Sebastian Aho743Eric Robinson734
Jordan Staal735
Jackson Blake656
Alexander Nikishin637
K'Andre Miller628
Taylor Hall629
Logan Stankoven6010
Nikolaj Ehlers5911
Sean Walker5812
Jaccob Slavin5613
Jordan Martinook5514
Mike Reilly5415
Andrei Svechnikov5416
Mark Jankowski5417
William Carrier5318
Jalen Chatfield50
Seth Jarvis832Sebastian Aho743Eric Robinson734Jordan Staal735Jackson Blake656Alexander Nikishin637K'Andre Miller628Taylor Hall629Logan Stankoven6010Nikolaj Ehlers5911Sean Walker5812Jaccob Slavin5613Jordan Martinook5514Mike Reilly5415Andrei Svechnikov5416Mark Jankowski5417William Carrier5318Jalen Chatfield50Goalies
TOR
1
John Tavares702
Matias Maccelli673
Jake McCabe634
William Nylander625
Dakota Joshua626
Steven Lorentz597
Bo Groulx598
Calle Jarnkrok569
Jacob Quillan5610
Morgan Rielly5311
Matthew Knies5212
Brandon Carlo5213
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5114
Simon Benoit5115
Troy Stecher5116
Easton Cowan5017
Max Domi4818
Nicholas Robertson47
John Tavares702Matias Maccelli673Jake McCabe634William Nylander625Dakota Joshua626Steven Lorentz597Bo Groulx598Calle Jarnkrok569Jacob Quillan5610Morgan Rielly5311Matthew Knies5212Brandon Carlo5213Oliver Ekman-Larsson5114Simon Benoit5115Troy Stecher5116Easton Cowan5017Max Domi4818Nicholas Robertson47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | 0 (8) | 3 (17) | 0 (10) | 1 (1) | 4 |
| TOR | 1 (4) | 1 (11) | 1 (11) | 0 (0) | 3 |
| CAR | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/4 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 20 | Hits | 21 |
| 23 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 10 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 25 | Faceoff wins | 27 |
| CAR | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 6.56 | Expected goals | 2.50 |
| 3.94 | 5v5 xG | 2.18 |
| 2.12 | Power-play xG | 0.21 |
| 77 | Shot attempts | 43 |
| 36 | On goal | 26 |
| 29 | High-danger | 9 |
| 6 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 18 | Missed | 6 |
| 23 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.085 | xG per attempt | 0.058 |
| 26 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG86 of 120 attempts shown