Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 4@Minnesota Wild 2
2026-03-15TOR · MIN
CF%?
34.8%·65.2%
xGF%?
28.4%·71.6%
HDCF%?
33.3%·66.7%
5v5 xGF%?
26.9%·73.1%
5v5 CF%?
34.5%·65.5%
?
MIN wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 20%Deserved to win?80% MIN
the game's chances, replayed · 1.81 xG vs 3.49 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 4@MIN 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-15 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickVladimir TarasenkoMIN · 2G · 0.37 ixG · 3 hits88
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRyan HartmanMIN · 2A · 0.40 ixG · 1 gv80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMats ZuccarelloMIN · 2A · 0.64 ixG · 2 gv80TOR
1
Bo Groulx712
John Tavares673
Matias Maccelli634
Matthew Knies635
Troy Stecher626
Morgan Rielly607
Jacob Quillan558
William Nylander529
Steven Lorentz5210
Jake McCabe5011
Nicholas Robertson5012
Philippe Myers5013
Easton Cowan4914
Dakota Joshua4815
Calle Jarnkrok4516
Max Domi4517
Simon Benoit4518
Brandon Carlo40
Bo Groulx712John Tavares673Matias Maccelli634Matthew Knies635Troy Stecher626Morgan Rielly607Jacob Quillan558William Nylander529Steven Lorentz5210Jake McCabe5011Nicholas Robertson5012Philippe Myers5013Easton Cowan4914Dakota Joshua4815Calle Jarnkrok4516Max Domi4517Simon Benoit4518Brandon Carlo40Goalies
MIN
1Vladimir Tarasenko882Ryan Hartman803Mats Zuccarello804
Quinn Hughes675
Joel Eriksson Ek666
Kirill Kaprizov637
Brock Faber618
Jake Middleton609
Michael McCarron6010
Jared Spurgeon5911
Jonas Brodin5712
Nick Foligno5713
Jeff Petry5514
Danila Yurov5315
Yakov Trenin5316
Matt Boldy5117
Marcus Johansson5018
Nico Sturm49
Vladimir Tarasenko882Ryan Hartman803Mats Zuccarello804Quinn Hughes675Joel Eriksson Ek666Kirill Kaprizov637Brock Faber618Jake Middleton609Michael McCarron6010Jared Spurgeon5911Jonas Brodin5712Nick Foligno5713Jeff Petry5514Danila Yurov5315Yakov Trenin5316Matt Boldy5117Marcus Johansson5018Nico Sturm49Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 (5) | 3 (16) | 1 (5) | 4 |
| MIN | 0 (10) | 0 (11) | 2 (17) | 2 |
| TOR | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 14 | Hits | 22 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 32 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 23 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 26 |
| TOR | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 2 |
| 3.29 | Expected goals | 8.30 |
| 1.96 | 5v5 xG | 5.34 |
| 0.77 | Power-play xG | 1.24 |
| 48 | Shot attempts | 90 |
| 26 | On goal | 38 |
| 12 | High-danger | 24 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 9 | Missed | 20 |
| 13 | Blocked | 32 |
| 0.069 | xG per attempt | 0.092 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG93 of 138 attempts shown