Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 2@Buffalo Sabres 3
2026-03-14TOR · BUF
CF%?
31.9%·68.1%
xGF%?
31.9%·68.1%
HDCF%?
30.6%·69.4%
5v5 xGF%?
34.7%·65.3%
5v5 CF%?
34.4%·65.6%
?
BUF wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 18%Deserved to win?82% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 1.94 xG vs 3.92 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 2@BUF 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-14 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJoseph WollTOR · 3 gv · 1 pen drawn · 31 sv70
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 0.61 ixG · 1 tk · 1 gv66
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickOwen PowerBUF · 1G · 0.23 ixG · 1 tk65TOR
1
Max Domi642
William Nylander643
Dakota Joshua624
Simon Benoit585
Matthew Knies566
Nicholas Robertson567
Jacob Quillan558
John Tavares559
Bo Groulx5310
Morgan Rielly5211
Michael Pezzetta5112
Jake McCabe5013
Calle Jarnkrok5014
Oliver Ekman-Larsson4915
Matias Maccelli4716
Philippe Myers4617
Easton Cowan45
Max Domi642William Nylander643Dakota Joshua624Simon Benoit585Matthew Knies566Nicholas Robertson567Jacob Quillan558John Tavares559Bo Groulx5310Morgan Rielly5211Michael Pezzetta5112Jake McCabe5013Calle Jarnkrok5014Oliver Ekman-Larsson4915Matias Maccelli4716Philippe Myers4617Easton Cowan45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 (9) | 1 (6) | 0 (2) | 0 (1) | 2 |
| BUF | 1 (10) | 1 (12) | 0 (10) | 0 (1) | 3 |
| TOR | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/6 | Power play | 1/8 |
| 35 | Hits | 21 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 24 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 27 | Faceoff wins | 24 |
| TOR | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 3.02 | Expected goals | 6.44 |
| 2.57 | 5v5 xG | 4.83 |
| 0.17 | Power-play xG | 1.10 |
| 38 | Shot attempts | 81 |
| 18 | On goal | 33 |
| 11 | High-danger | 25 |
| 0 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 10 | Missed | 24 |
| 10 | Blocked | 24 |
| 0.079 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG85 of 119 attempts shown