HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Pittsburgh Penguins 2@Vegas Golden Knights 6

2026-03-12
PIT · VGK

CF%?

58.7%·41.3%

xGF%?

35.5%·64.5%

HDCF%?

52.9%·47.1%

5v5 xGF%?

54.0%·46.0%

5v5 CF%?

60.8%·39.2%

?
VGK wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 67%Deserved to win?33% VGK

the game's chances, replayed · 2.44 xG vs 1.66 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

PIT 2@VGK 6

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-03-12 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickJack EichelVGK · 1G · 1A · 1.27 ixG87★ 2nd star · our model’s pickPavel DorofeyevVGK · 2G · 1A · 0.29 ixG84★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBraeden BowmanVGK · 2A · 0.18 ixG · 1 tk72

PIT

1Ryan Shea722Rickard Rakell683Anthony Mantha674Ben Kindel635Bryan Rust596Avery Hayes577Blake Lizotte568Noel Acciari559Connor Clifton5410Kris Letang5411Elmer Soderblom5412Egor Chinakhov5413Jeremy Lauzon5314Ilya Solovyov5315Ville Koivunen5316Tommy Novak5317Connor Dewar5118Erik Karlsson5019Parker Wotherspoon44

Goalies

1Arturs Silovs40

VGK

1Jack Eichel872Pavel Dorofeyev843Braeden Bowman724Mitch Marner715Colton Sissons706Brayden McNabb677Ivan Barbashev638Nic Dowd609Brett Howden5910Shea Theodore5811Kaedan Korczak5712Mark Stone5513Keegan Kolesar5414Cole Smith5315Tomas Hertl5116Noah Hanifin4817Rasmus Andersson45

Goalies

1Adin Hill54
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

8:41VGK

Colton Sissons from Braeden Bowman

Period 2

5:02VGK

Pavel Dorofeyev from Kaedan Korczak, Braeden Bowman

8:26PIT

Rickard Rakell from Bryan Rust, Ryan Shea

9:20VGK

Mitch Marner from Pavel Dorofeyev

16:22PIT

Ben Kindel from Anthony Mantha, Ryan Shea

Period 3

4:35VGK

Pavel Dorofeyev from Mitch Marner

6:20VGK

Jack Eichel from Ivan Barbashev, Shea Theodore

19:01VGK

Brayden McNabb from Jack Eichel

EN
Goals (SOG)123T
PIT0 (6)2 (9)0 (11)2
VGK1 (6)2 (5)3 (6)6
PITVGK
0/6Power play0/5
12Hits27
22Blocked shots14
6Takeaways2
17Giveaways23
19Faceoff wins42
PITVGK
2Goals6
4.23Expected goals7.68
2.795v5 xG2.38
1.43Power-play xG0.44
64Shot attempts45
26On goal17
18High-danger16
1Rebound chances1
16Missed14
22Blocked14
0.066xG per attempt0.171
33 ftAvg shot distance33 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

PIT attackingVGK attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG73 of 109 attempts shown