Regular season

Avery Hayes

Pittsburgh Penguins · RW · #85

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?5 points in 16 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'10"
WT: 180 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: R
From: Westland, USA

65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5959pctl

3333pctl

5050pctl

5151pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3134pctl

0.3181pctl

0.000pctl

1.655pctl

-442pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.9%63pctl

1.9157pctl

0.1147pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3134pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

8.482pctl

7.776pctl

0.6395pctl

3.0288pctl

0:0819pctl

0:0243pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 12 GP tracked · 2h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.3%46pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

43.8%25pctl

O-zone deployment?

56%78pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.8 min13pctl

Support received?

16.1 min89pctl

D-zone deployment?

44%22pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.3477pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2539pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.13/gm87pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.4%17pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 176 EV min

General Offense

8.5370

9.2161

Shot Setups/60?

0.6839

Chance Setups/60?

0.6846

Primary Contributions/60?

9.2169

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3441

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0038

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.0029

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.6869

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0043

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0034

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.0566

Rush Offense/60?

11.9469

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.0029

1.0260

0.0033

Deflections/60?

1.3650

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0034

Entries Finished/60?

2.3971

Entries w/ Chance/60?

1.3671

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.7166

0.0031

1.7170

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0042

Forechecking

5.4659

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0046

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.87M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Avery Hayes	65	Depth Forward	5 P · 16 GP	$0.87M	$3.17M	A+$2.3M	this player
Josh Anderson	63	Depth Forward	23 P · 72 GP	$5.50M	$2.68M	F−$2.8M	88%
Anthony-John (AJ) Greer	65	Depth Forward	32 P · 78 GP	$0.85M	$3.17M	A+$2.3M	87%
Zachary L'Heureux	63	Depth Forward	5 P · 25 GP	$0.86M	$2.68M	B+$1.8M	82%
Kasperi Kapanen	63	Depth Forward	17 P · 41 GP	$1.30M	$2.68M	B+$1.4M	82%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Avery’s goals

Creates for

goals Avery assisted on

No credited connections yet.

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 3 G · 0 A · 14 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 03-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 7:48 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 03-08

0G 0A · 3 shots · 9:34 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 03-10

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:24 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 03-12

0G 0A · 5 shots · 9:31 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 03-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:44 TOI

@ NYI

1P

1G 0A

@ NYI 03-30

1G 0A · 1 shots · 11:49 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:40 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:13 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:22 TOI

@ STL

2P

2G 0A

@ STL 04-14

2G 0A · 3 shots · 13:48 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)53 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 4 of 5 goals live there

Defensive floor: 11 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Pittsburgh Penguins	16	5	0	5	-4
Career	1 team	16	5	0	5	-4