Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Pittsburgh Penguins 4@Carolina Hurricanes 5
2026-03-10PIT · CAR
CF%?
43.4%·56.6%
xGF%?
44.7%·55.3%
HDCF%?
49.1%·50.9%
5v5 xGF%?
40.7%·59.3%
5v5 CF%?
40.0%·60.0%
?
CAR wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 34%Deserved to win?66% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 4.44 xG vs 5.62 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
PIT 4@CAR 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-10 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickStuart SkinnerPIT · 40 sv · 4 GA · GSAx +1.9887
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBryan RustPIT · 2G · 1A · 0.50 ixG81
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 1A · 0.69 ixG · 1 gv73PIT
1Bryan Rust812
Erik Karlsson723
Egor Chinakhov704
Noel Acciari695
Ville Koivunen666
Anthony Mantha657
Tommy Novak618
Rickard Rakell599
Elmer Soderblom5810
Avery Hayes5411
Connor Dewar5412
Ben Kindel5113
Blake Lizotte5014
Ryan Shea5015
Parker Wotherspoon4816
Ilya Solovyov4617
Connor Clifton4518
Kris Letang45
Bryan Rust812Erik Karlsson723Egor Chinakhov704Noel Acciari695Ville Koivunen666Anthony Mantha657Tommy Novak618Rickard Rakell599Elmer Soderblom5810Avery Hayes5411Connor Dewar5412Ben Kindel5113Blake Lizotte5014Ryan Shea5015Parker Wotherspoon4816Ilya Solovyov4617Connor Clifton4518Kris Letang45Goalies
CAR
1Sebastian Aho732
Seth Jarvis733
Alexander Nikishin734
Logan Stankoven705
Mark Jankowski686
Jackson Blake677
Mike Reilly658
Nikolaj Ehlers659
William Carrier6510
Jaccob Slavin6511
Andrei Svechnikov6212
Eric Robinson5913
Jalen Chatfield5914
Sean Walker5715
Jordan Martinook5716
K'Andre Miller5617
Jordan Staal5518
Taylor Hall54
Sebastian Aho732Seth Jarvis733Alexander Nikishin734Logan Stankoven705Mark Jankowski686Jackson Blake677Mike Reilly658Nikolaj Ehlers659William Carrier6510Jaccob Slavin6511Andrei Svechnikov6212Eric Robinson5913Jalen Chatfield5914Sean Walker5715Jordan Martinook5716K'Andre Miller5617Jordan Staal5518Taylor Hall54Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 (9) | 1 (10) | 2 (8) | 0 (1) | 4 |
| CAR | 1 (13) | 0 (12) | 3 (16) | 0 (3) | 5 |
| PIT | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3/6 | Power play | 1/6 |
| 16 | Hits | 28 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 20 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 36 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| PIT | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 4 |
| 6.43 | Expected goals | 7.94 |
| 3.40 | 5v5 xG | 4.95 |
| 2.71 | Power-play xG | 1.89 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 86 |
| 28 | On goal | 44 |
| 27 | High-danger | 28 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 9 |
| 23 | Missed | 21 |
| 15 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.097 | xG per attempt | 0.092 |
| 27 ft | Avg shot distance | 26 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG116 of 152 attempts shown