Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Toronto Maple Leafs 1@Montréal Canadiens 3
2026-03-10TOR · MTL
CF%?
41.4%·58.6%
xGF%?
34.0%·66.0%
HDCF%?
35.0%·65.0%
5v5 xGF%?
34.7%·65.3%
5v5 CF%?
40.6%·59.4%
?
MTL wins ↑TOR wins ↓
TOR 13%Deserved to win?87% MTL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.09 xG vs 4.61 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
TOR 1@MTL 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-10 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJake EvansMTL · 1G · 1.45 ixG · 1 blk87
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJoseph WollTOR · 1 gv · 30 sv · 2 GA85
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickOliver KapanenMTL · 1G · 0.71 ixG · 1 hits72TOR
1
Easton Cowan672
William Nylander613
Auston Matthews604
Bo Groulx555
Jacob Quillan546
Jake McCabe537
Brandon Carlo538
Dakota Joshua539
John Tavares5210
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5211
Nicholas Robertson4912
Matias Maccelli4813
Steven Lorentz4814
Troy Stecher4815
Max Domi4616
Simon Benoit4617
Morgan Rielly4218
Matthew Knies40
Easton Cowan672William Nylander613Auston Matthews604Bo Groulx555Jacob Quillan546Jake McCabe537Brandon Carlo538Dakota Joshua539John Tavares5210Oliver Ekman-Larsson5211Nicholas Robertson4912Matias Maccelli4813Steven Lorentz4814Troy Stecher4815Max Domi4616Simon Benoit4617Morgan Rielly4218Matthew Knies40Goalies
MTL
1Jake Evans872Oliver Kapanen723
Kaiden Guhle724
Phillip Danault705
Lane Hutson696
Mike Matheson677
Alex Newhook678
Nick Suzuki659
Josh Anderson6310
Noah Dobson6111
Ivan Demidov6012
Cole Caufield5913
Alexandre Carrier5814
Kirby Dach5715
Zachary Bolduc5516
Brendan Gallagher5517
Arber Xhekaj5218
Juraj Slafkovský51
Jake Evans872Oliver Kapanen723Kaiden Guhle724Phillip Danault705Lane Hutson696Mike Matheson677Alex Newhook678Nick Suzuki659Josh Anderson6310Noah Dobson6111Ivan Demidov6012Cole Caufield5913Alexandre Carrier5814Kirby Dach5715Zachary Bolduc5516Brendan Gallagher5517Arber Xhekaj5218Juraj Slafkovský51Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 0 (5) | 1 (11) | 0 (2) | 1 |
| MTL | 2 (18) | 0 (6) | 1 (9) | 3 |
| TOR | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/4 |
| 23 | Hits | 20 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 8 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 29 | Faceoff wins | 28 |
| TOR | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.06 | Expected goals | 7.88 |
| 2.87 | 5v5 xG | 5.40 |
| 1.15 | Power-play xG | 0.51 |
| 48 | Shot attempts | 68 |
| 18 | On goal | 33 |
| 14 | High-danger | 26 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 3 |
| 11 | Missed | 19 |
| 19 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.085 | xG per attempt | 0.116 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG81 of 116 attempts shown