Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Philadelphia Flyers 4@Pittsburgh Penguins 3
2026-03-07PHI · PIT
CF%?
38.5%·61.5%
xGF%?
36.0%·64.0%
HDCF%?
42.4%·57.6%
5v5 xGF%?
36.8%·63.2%
5v5 CF%?
40.8%·59.2%
?
PIT wins ↑PHI wins ↓
PHI 32%Deserved to win?68% PIT
the game's chances, replayed · 2.10 xG vs 3.01 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
PHI 4@PIT 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-07 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickRickard RakellPIT · 1G · 1A · 0.54 ixG89
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickEgor ChinakhovPIT · 2A · 0.37 ixG · 1 hits82
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickTommy NovakPIT · 1G · 0.29 ixG · 2 blk67PHI
1
Trevor Zegras662
Alex Bump653
Noah Cates634
Matvei Michkov625
Owen Tippett616
Denver Barkey607
Cam York608
Nikita Grebenkin599
Christian Dvorak5910
Emil Andrae5411
Noah Juulsen5412
Luke Glendening5413
Travis Sanheim5314
Jamie Drysdale5215
Sean Couturier5216
Carl Grundstrom5117
Garnet Hathaway4918
Rasmus Ristolainen41
Trevor Zegras662Alex Bump653Noah Cates634Matvei Michkov625Owen Tippett616Denver Barkey607Cam York608Nikita Grebenkin599Christian Dvorak5910Emil Andrae5411Noah Juulsen5412Luke Glendening5413Travis Sanheim5314Jamie Drysdale5215Sean Couturier5216Carl Grundstrom5117Garnet Hathaway4918Rasmus Ristolainen41Goalies
PIT
1Rickard Rakell892Egor Chinakhov823Tommy Novak674
Bryan Rust655
Justin Brazeau656
Erik Karlsson617
Connor Dewar618
Blake Lizotte599
Ville Koivunen5710
Ryan Shea5611
Noel Acciari5612
Parker Wotherspoon5513
Avery Hayes5414
Anthony Mantha5215
Ben Kindel5116
Connor Clifton5117
Kris Letang4818
Samuel Girard47
Rickard Rakell892Egor Chinakhov823Tommy Novak674Bryan Rust655Justin Brazeau656Erik Karlsson617Connor Dewar618Blake Lizotte599Ville Koivunen5710Ryan Shea5611Noel Acciari5612Parker Wotherspoon5513Avery Hayes5414Anthony Mantha5215Ben Kindel5116Connor Clifton5117Kris Letang4818Samuel Girard47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 1 (2) | 2 (8) | 0 (5) | 0 (1) | 4 |
| PIT | 1 (8) | 2 (7) | 0 (4) | 0 (4) | 3 |
| PHI | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/3 | Power play | 1/7 |
| 26 | Hits | 19 |
| 7 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 6 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 38 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| PHI | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 3 |
| 2.69 | Expected goals | 4.78 |
| 1.62 | 5v5 xG | 2.78 |
| 0.65 | Power-play xG | 1.49 |
| 40 | Shot attempts | 64 |
| 16 | On goal | 23 |
| 14 | High-danger | 19 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 17 | Missed | 23 |
| 7 | Blocked | 18 |
| 0.067 | xG per attempt | 0.075 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG79 of 104 attempts shown