Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Nashville Predators 2@Buffalo Sabres 3
2026-03-07NSH · BUF
CF%?
52.2%·47.8%
xGF%?
51.3%·48.7%
HDCF%?
60.0%·40.0%
5v5 xGF%?
48.9%·51.1%
5v5 CF%?
45.7%·54.3%
?
BUF wins ↑NSH wins ↓
NSH 57%Deserved to win?43% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.83 xG vs 2.49 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
NSH 2@BUF 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-07 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMatthew WoodNSH · 1G · 0.45 ixG · 3 blk79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJosh NorrisBUF · 1A · 1 blk · 10 FOW71
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 23 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +0.9969NSH
1Matthew Wood792
Ryan O'Reilly693
Zachary L'Heureux674
Jonathan Marchessault645
Steven Stamkos616
Roman Josi597
Filip Forsberg588
Luke Evangelista589
Erik Haula5510
Brady Skjei5411
Joakim Kemell5412
Nicolas Hague5413
Nick Perbix5214
Ryan Ufko5015
Ozzy Wiesblatt5016
Fedor Svechkov4917
Justin Barron4818
Tyson Jost45
Matthew Wood792Ryan O'Reilly693Zachary L'Heureux674Jonathan Marchessault645Steven Stamkos616Roman Josi597Filip Forsberg588Luke Evangelista589Erik Haula5510Brady Skjei5411Joakim Kemell5412Nicolas Hague5413Nick Perbix5214Ryan Ufko5015Ozzy Wiesblatt5016Fedor Svechkov4917Justin Barron4818Tyson Jost45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 0 (6) | 1 (12) | 1 (7) | 2 |
| BUF | 0 (2) | 2 (13) | 1 (9) | 3 |
| NSH | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/4 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 15 | Hits | 20 |
| 20 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 38 | Faceoff wins | 24 |
| NSH | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.59 | Expected goals | 4.35 |
| 3.06 | 5v5 xG | 3.20 |
| 1.23 | Power-play xG | 0.44 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 55 |
| 25 | On goal | 24 |
| 18 | High-danger | 12 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 15 | Missed | 19 |
| 20 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.076 | xG per attempt | 0.079 |
| 31 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG83 of 115 attempts shown