Regular season

Ryan Ufko

Nashville Predators · D · #85

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?11 points and 13 blocks in 18 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 174 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: R
From: Smithtown, USA
Draft: 2021 NSH · R4 #115

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5353pctl

5555pctl

3636pctl

3939pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.6190pctl

0.1179pctl

0.5092pctl

0.67pctl

047pctl

267pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.5%11pctl

0.9218pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3134pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.723pctl

3.1217pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.216pctl

2.447pctl

0.2546pctl

1:3579pctl

0:054pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.9%26pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.0%52pctl

O-zone deployment?

59%85pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.8 min13pctl

Support received?

15.9 min93pctl

D-zone deployment?

41%15pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4932pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.118pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.00/gm100pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.0%31pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 220 EV min

General Offense

2.1828

2.7341

Shot Setups/60?

0.2728

Chance Setups/60?

0.2729

Primary Contributions/60?

2.4527

Rebounds Created/60?

0.0027

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0039

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.0027

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0030

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0041

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0032

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9160

Rush Offense/60?

2.7326

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2750

0.0028

0.0036

Deflections/60?

0.0034

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0039

Entries Finished/60?

0.0028

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0031

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.1838

0.2735

1.9141

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0042

Forechecking

0.2741

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.93M

cap hit

$3.91M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Ryan Ufko	67	Depth Defenseman	11 P · 18 GP	$0.93M	$3.91M	A+$3.0M	this player
Mason Lohrei	67	Depth Defenseman	26 P · 73 GP	$3.20M	$3.91M	C+$0.7M	83%
Tom Willander	62	Depth Defenseman	21 P · 70 GP	$0.95M	$2.59M	B+$1.6M	81%
Uvis Balinskis	70	Steady Blueliner	15 P · 54 GP	$0.85M	$4.79M	A+$3.9M	75%
Sam Rinzel	66	Depth Defenseman	14 P · 54 GP	$0.94M	$3.63M	A+$2.7M	74%

Chemistry

Top connection: Filip Forsberg · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Ryan’s goals

Creates for

goals Ryan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 0 G · 6 A · 6 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 03-22

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:17 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:51 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:01 TOI

vs MTL

1P

0G 1A

vs MTL 03-28

0G 1A · 0 shots · 10:15 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:25 TOI

@ ANA

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA 04-07

0G 1A · 1 shots · 15:35 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:02 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:21 TOI

vs SJS

2P

0G 2A

vs SJS 04-13

0G 2A · 2 shots · 16:30 TOI

vs ANA

2P

0G 2A

vs ANA 04-16

0G 2A · 0 shots · 20:29 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)49 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 1 of 2 goals live there

Defensive floor: 13 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Nashville Predators	1	0	0	0	0
2025-26	Nashville Predators	18	2	9	11	0
Career	1 team	19	2	9	11	0