Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 5@Pittsburgh Penguins 1
2026-03-05BUF · PIT
CF%?
52.1%·47.9%
xGF%?
58.2%·41.8%
HDCF%?
38.5%·61.5%
5v5 xGF%?
42.1%·57.9%
5v5 CF%?
47.9%·52.1%
?
PIT wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 57%Deserved to win?43% PIT
the game's chances, replayed · 3.12 xG vs 2.75 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
BUF 5@PIT 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-05 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJosh NorrisBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.38 ixG81
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickUkko-Pekka LuukkonenBUF · 27 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.8481
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickOwen PowerBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.09 ixG74BUF
1Josh Norris812Owen Power743
Josh Doan714
Mattias Samuelsson685
Ryan McLeod666
Alex Tuch647
Tage Thompson638
Bowen Byram589
Noah Ostlund5710
Zach Benson5511
Samuel Girard5512
Josh Dunne5313
Rasmus Dahlin5214
Beck Malenstyn5115
Michael Kesselring5116
Peyton Krebs5117
Jason Zucker5018
Jack Quinn4819
Zach Metsa46
Josh Norris812Owen Power743Josh Doan714Mattias Samuelsson685Ryan McLeod666Alex Tuch647Tage Thompson638Bowen Byram589Noah Ostlund5710Zach Benson5511Samuel Girard5512Josh Dunne5313Rasmus Dahlin5214Beck Malenstyn5115Michael Kesselring5116Peyton Krebs5117Jason Zucker5018Jack Quinn4819Zach Metsa46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 1 (7) | 3 (11) | 1 (8) | 5 |
| PIT | 1 (6) | 0 (12) | 0 (10) | 1 |
| BUF | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/7 | Power play | 0/6 |
| 20 | Hits | 18 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 3 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 19 |
| BUF | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 1 |
| 6.41 | Expected goals | 4.59 |
| 2.22 | 5v5 xG | 3.05 |
| 2.11 | Power-play xG | 1.17 |
| 61 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 26 | On goal | 28 |
| 15 | High-danger | 24 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 22 | Missed | 13 |
| 13 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.105 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG89 of 117 attempts shown