Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Vegas Golden Knights 2@Buffalo Sabres 3
2026-03-03VGK · BUF
CF%?
50.4%·49.6%
xGF%?
51.1%·48.9%
HDCF%?
53.1%·46.9%
5v5 xGF%?
49.5%·50.5%
5v5 CF%?
49.5%·50.5%
?
BUF wins ↑VGK wins ↓
VGK 62%Deserved to win?38% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 4.10 xG vs 3.37 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model
VGK 2@BUF 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickRasmus DahlinBUF · 2A · 0.03 ixG · 2 blk73
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickRyan McLeodBUF · 1A · 0.30 ixG · 1 blk71
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 1 gv · 27 sv · 2 GA68VGK
1
Pavel Dorofeyev662
Shea Theodore653
Reilly Smith624
Jack Eichel615
Keegan Kolesar616
Brayden McNabb597
Colton Sissons598
Ivan Barbashev599
Noah Hanifin5710
Tomas Hertl5711
Cole Reinhardt5612
Braeden Bowman5513
Jeremy Lauzon5514
Kaedan Korczak5315
Brandon Saad5116
Raphael Lavoie5017
Rasmus Andersson45
Pavel Dorofeyev662Shea Theodore653Reilly Smith624Jack Eichel615Keegan Kolesar616Brayden McNabb597Colton Sissons598Ivan Barbashev599Noah Hanifin5710Tomas Hertl5711Cole Reinhardt5612Braeden Bowman5513Jeremy Lauzon5514Kaedan Korczak5315Brandon Saad5116Raphael Lavoie5017Rasmus Andersson45Goalies
BUF
1Rasmus Dahlin732Ryan McLeod713
Owen Power684
Jason Zucker675
Noah Ostlund666
Tage Thompson647
Mattias Samuelsson628
Jack Quinn599
Josh Doan5810
Alex Tuch5811
Beck Malenstyn5612
Josh Norris5613
Michael Kesselring5514
Tyson Kozak5215
Zach Metsa5116
Peyton Krebs5017
Mitch Marner5018
Zach Benson4719
Bowen Byram42
Rasmus Dahlin732Ryan McLeod713Owen Power684Jason Zucker675Noah Ostlund666Tage Thompson647Mattias Samuelsson628Jack Quinn599Josh Doan5810Alex Tuch5811Beck Malenstyn5612Josh Norris5613Michael Kesselring5514Tyson Kozak5215Zach Metsa5116Peyton Krebs5017Mitch Marner5018Zach Benson4719Bowen Byram42Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VGK | 0 (7) | 2 (16) | 0 (6) | 2 |
| BUF | 1 (11) | 2 (12) | 0 (5) | 3 |
| VGK | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/1 | Power play | 0/1 |
| 28 | Hits | 15 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 9 |
| 14 | Giveaways | 15 |
| 27 | Faceoff wins | 34 |
| VGK | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 3 |
| 5.03 | Expected goals | 4.81 |
| 4.02 | 5v5 xG | 4.10 |
| 1.01 | Power-play xG | 0.21 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 29 | On goal | 28 |
| 17 | High-danger | 15 |
| 8 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 19 | Missed | 18 |
| 11 | Blocked | 12 |
| 0.085 | xG per attempt | 0.083 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG94 of 117 attempts shown