HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Brandon Saad

- · LW · #20
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?9 points in 49 games in a supporting role
HT
6'1"
WT
207 lb
Age
33
Shoots
L
From
Pittsburgh, USA
Draft
2011 CHI · R2 #43
58Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3737pctl
Playmaking?
3131pctl
Transition?
5252pctl
Defense?
5151pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1813pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0612pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1219pctl
Shots / GP?
1.657pctl
Plus/Minus?
-730pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
6.5%69pctl
ZEIS?
1.9660pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
0.3845pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
7.162pctl
Hits / 60?
1.07pctl
Take : Give?
0.3767pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.6442pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0211pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:5471pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 26 GP tracked · 6h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.2 min38pctl
Support received?
17.4 min45pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 610 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Brandon Saad58--this player
Tanner Jeannot58$3.40MD$1.8M90%
Cole Koepke58$1.00MC+$0.6M86%
Andrew Mangiapane57$3.60MD$2.1M85%
Danila Yurov61$0.95MB+$1.3M85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Reilly Smith · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ LAK

1P

1G 0A

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN

1P

0G 1A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)146 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 1 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 23 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12Chicago Blackhawks20000
2012-13Chicago Blackhawks4610172717
2013-14Chicago Blackhawks7819284720
2014-15Chicago Blackhawks822329527
2015-16Columbus Blue Jackets783122531
2016-17Columbus Blue Jackets8224295323
2017-18Chicago Blackhawks82181735-10
2018-19Chicago Blackhawks80232447-9
2019-20Chicago Blackhawks582112332
2020-21Colorado Avalanche44159241
2021-22St. Louis Blues7824254911
2022-23St. Louis Blues71191837-8
2023-24St. Louis Blues82261642-4
2024-25St. Louis Blues437916-14
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights2968146
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights49369-7
Career5 teams98426926953836