Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Pittsburgh Penguins 1@Boston Bruins 2
2026-03-03PIT · BOS
CF%?
49.3%·50.7%
xGF%?
45.9%·54.1%
HDCF%?
35.3%·64.7%
5v5 xGF%?
46.2%·53.8%
5v5 CF%?
47.7%·52.3%
?
BOS wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 66%Deserved to win?34% BOS
the game's chances, replayed · 3.73 xG vs 2.79 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
PIT 1@BOS 2
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-03-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJeremy SwaymanBOS · 1 gv · 34 sv · 1 GA90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickErik KarlssonPIT · 1G · 0.36 ixG · 2 blk71
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBryan RustPIT · 1A · 0.51 ixG · 2 tk69PIT
1Erik Karlsson712Bryan Rust693
Kris Letang604
Ben Kindel605
Rickard Rakell586
Connor Dewar587
Parker Wotherspoon578
Noel Acciari579
Kevin Hayes5610
Ryan Shea5411
Tommy Novak5312
Anthony Mantha5313
Samuel Girard5214
Justin Brazeau5215
Avery Hayes5116
Egor Chinakhov5117
Evgeni Malkin48
Erik Karlsson712Bryan Rust693Kris Letang604Ben Kindel605Rickard Rakell586Connor Dewar587Parker Wotherspoon578Noel Acciari579Kevin Hayes5610Ryan Shea5411Tommy Novak5312Anthony Mantha5313Samuel Girard5214Justin Brazeau5215Avery Hayes5116Egor Chinakhov5117Evgeni Malkin48Goalies
BOS
1
Nikita Zadorov672
Michael Eyssimont673
Marat Khusnutdinov654
Pavel Zacha625
Casey Mittelstadt596
Mark Kastelic597
David Pastrnak588
Fraser Minten569
Hampus Lindholm5610
Jonathan Aspirot5411
Andrew Peeke5312
Tanner Jeannot5313
Mason Lohrei5314
Morgan Geekie5215
Elias Lindholm5116
Viktor Arvidsson5017
Connor Clifton5018
Sean Kuraly4919
Charlie McAvoy48
Nikita Zadorov672Michael Eyssimont673Marat Khusnutdinov654Pavel Zacha625Casey Mittelstadt596Mark Kastelic597David Pastrnak588Fraser Minten569Hampus Lindholm5610Jonathan Aspirot5411Andrew Peeke5312Tanner Jeannot5313Mason Lohrei5314Morgan Geekie5215Elias Lindholm5116Viktor Arvidsson5017Connor Clifton5018Sean Kuraly4919Charlie McAvoy48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 (7) | 0 (15) | 0 (13) | 1 |
| BOS | 2 (12) | 0 (11) | 0 (5) | 2 |
| PIT | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 24 | Hits | 23 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 23 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 16 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| PIT | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.64 | Expected goals | 5.47 |
| 3.15 | 5v5 xG | 3.66 |
| 1.28 | Power-play xG | 0.99 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 70 |
| 35 | On goal | 28 |
| 12 | High-danger | 22 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 20 | Missed | 19 |
| 13 | Blocked | 23 |
| 0.068 | xG per attempt | 0.078 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 31 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG102 of 138 attempts shown