Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Pittsburgh Penguins 2@New York Rangers 3
2026-02-28PIT · NYR
CF%?
47.3%·52.7%
xGF%?
47.0%·53.0%
HDCF%?
37.8%·62.2%
5v5 xGF%?
37.3%·62.7%
5v5 CF%?
41.0%·59.0%
?
NYR wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 51%Deserved to win?49% NYR
the game's chances, replayed · 3.25 xG vs 3.17 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
PIT 2@NYR 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-28 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickIgor ShesterkinNYR · 1 gv · 32 sv · 2 GA76
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickConnor CliftonPIT · 1A · 0.09 ixG · 5 blk72
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMika ZibanejadNYR · 1G · 0.43 ixG · 8 FOW71PIT
1Connor Clifton722
Anthony Mantha633
Ryan Shea634
Bryan Rust625
Erik Karlsson626
Evgeni Malkin617
Tommy Novak608
Avery Hayes589
Ben Kindel5710
Egor Chinakhov5611
Justin Brazeau5612
Connor Dewar5613
Blake Lizotte5414
Kris Letang5415
Samuel Girard5216
Noel Acciari5217
Rickard Rakell5118
Parker Wotherspoon47
Connor Clifton722Anthony Mantha633Ryan Shea634Bryan Rust625Erik Karlsson626Evgeni Malkin617Tommy Novak608Avery Hayes589Ben Kindel5710Egor Chinakhov5611Justin Brazeau5612Connor Dewar5613Blake Lizotte5414Kris Letang5415Samuel Girard5216Noel Acciari5217Rickard Rakell5118Parker Wotherspoon47Goalies
NYR
1Mika Zibanejad712
Taylor Raddysh653
Vincent Trocheck604
Brendan Brisson605
J.T. Miller606
Will Cuylle587
Vladislav Gavrikov588
Gabe Perreault579
Scott Morrow5610
Noah Laba5511
Adam Fox5512
Conor Sheary5413
Tye Kartye5414
Braden Schneider5315
Matthew Robertson5316
Sam Carrick5317
Will Borgen5218
Alexis Lafrenière48
Mika Zibanejad712Taylor Raddysh653Vincent Trocheck604Brendan Brisson605J.T. Miller606Will Cuylle587Vladislav Gavrikov588Gabe Perreault579Scott Morrow5610Noah Laba5511Adam Fox5512Conor Sheary5413Tye Kartye5414Braden Schneider5315Matthew Robertson5316Sam Carrick5317Will Borgen5218Alexis Lafrenière48Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
2OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 1 (10) | 1 (14) | 0 (4) | 0 (6) | 2 |
| NYR | 0 (2) | 1 (11) | 1 (10) | 0 (2) | 3 |
| PIT | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/2 |
| 15 | Hits | 28 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 6 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 15 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 12 | Faceoff wins | 40 |
| PIT | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 2 |
| 4.83 | Expected goals | 5.46 |
| 2.71 | 5v5 xG | 4.56 |
| 1.46 | Power-play xG | 0.52 |
| 61 | Shot attempts | 68 |
| 34 | On goal | 25 |
| 14 | High-danger | 23 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 13 | Missed | 22 |
| 14 | Blocked | 21 |
| 0.079 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 30 ft | Avg shot distance | 28 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG94 of 129 attempts shown