Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Buffalo Sabres 5@Florida Panthers 3
BUF · FLA
CF%?
37.7%·62.3%
xGF%?
43.2%·56.8%
HDCF%?
29.4%·70.6%
5v5 xGF%?
41.8%·58.2%
5v5 CF%?
38.5%·61.5%
?
FLA wins ↑BUF wins ↓
BUF 27%Deserved to win?73% FLA
the game's chances, replayed · 2.75 xG vs 4.22 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our modelBUF 5@FLA 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-02-02 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickPeyton KrebsBUF · 1G · 2A · 0.16 ixG91
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickAlex LyonBUF · 39 sv · 3 GA · GSAx +1.6883
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickEvan RodriguesFLA · 1G · 0.65 ixG · 2 tk78BUF
1
Peyton Krebs912
Josh Doan753
Tage Thompson704
Rasmus Dahlin695
Ryan McLeod696
Zach Benson657
Jason Zucker658
Alex Tuch649
Jack Quinn6110
Mattias Samuelsson6011
Owen Power5512
Tyson Kozak5413
Zach Metsa5114
Beck Malenstyn5115
Noah Ostlund4816
Michael Kesselring4517
Bowen Byram45
Peyton Krebs912
Josh Doan753
Tage Thompson704
Rasmus Dahlin695
Ryan McLeod696
Zach Benson657
Jason Zucker658
Alex Tuch649
Jack Quinn6110
Mattias Samuelsson6011
Owen Power5512
Tyson Kozak5413
Zach Metsa5114
Beck Malenstyn5115
Noah Ostlund4816
Michael Kesselring4517
Bowen Byram45Goalies
FLA
1
Evan Rodrigues782
Sam Reinhart763
Uvis Balinskis714
Tobias Bjornfot695
A.J. Greer676
Sandis Vilmanis677
Niko Mikkola658
Carter Verhaeghe639
Cole Schwindt6010
Eetu Luostarinen5611
Mackie Samoskevich5612
Matthew Tkachuk5513
Luke Kunin5414
Jeff Petry5315
Jesper Boqvist5216
Gustav Forsling5217
Isak Rosen5118
Sam Bennett5119
Aaron Ekblad47
Evan Rodrigues782
Sam Reinhart763
Uvis Balinskis714
Tobias Bjornfot695
A.J. Greer676
Sandis Vilmanis677
Niko Mikkola658
Carter Verhaeghe639
Cole Schwindt6010
Eetu Luostarinen5611
Mackie Samoskevich5612
Matthew Tkachuk5513
Luke Kunin5414
Jeff Petry5315
Jesper Boqvist5216
Gustav Forsling5217
Isak Rosen5118
Sam Bennett5119
Aaron Ekblad47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 2 (8) | 1 (6) | 2 (6) | 5 |
| FLA | 2 (9) | 1 (19) | 0 (14) | 3 |
| BUF | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/3 | Power play | 1/4 |
| 23 | Hits | 22 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 22 |
| 2 | Takeaways | 7 |
| 17 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 30 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| BUF | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 3 |
| 5.07 | Expected goals | 6.66 |
| 2.69 | 5v5 xG | 3.75 |
| 0.76 | Power-play xG | 2.91 |
| 49 | Shot attempts | 81 |
| 20 | On goal | 42 |
| 10 | High-danger | 24 |
| 1 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 16 | Missed | 17 |
| 13 | Blocked | 22 |
| 0.103 | xG per attempt | 0.082 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG95 of 130 attempts shown
