Regular season

Tobias Bjornfot

Florida Panthers · D · #22

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?4 points and 23 blocks in 19 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 200 lb
Age: 25
Shoots: L
From: Upplands Vasby, SWE
Draft: 2019 LAK · R1 #22

68Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5656pctl

4747pctl

3838pctl

5858pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2135pctl

0.1177pctl

0.1113pctl

0.69pctl

+151pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.6%13pctl

1.1326pctl

0.1770pctl

Def Suppression?

0.9791pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.2142pctl

5.1274pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

6.672pctl

3.155pctl

0.2027pctl

0:0216pctl

0:3521pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 13 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.4%31pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

26.7%2pctl

O-zone deployment?

48%40pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.8 min10pctl

Support received?

14.7 min100pctl

D-zone deployment?

52%60pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.3324pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.062pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.31/gm20pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.5%42pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 258 EV min

General Offense

2.7934

3.0247

Shot Setups/60?

0.9360

Chance Setups/60?

0.7054

Primary Contributions/60?

3.7240

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4763

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0038

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7073

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2363

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0040

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2371

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.1632

Rush Offense/60?

4.1929

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2343

0.0027

0.0034

Deflections/60?

0.2371

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0038

Entries Finished/60?

0.4769

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0030

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.6326

0.4752

1.1625

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0042

Forechecking

0.0025

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.78M

cap hit

$4.20M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Tobias Bjornfot	68	Depth Defenseman	4 P · 19 GP	$0.78M	$4.20M	A+$3.4M	this player
Ben Hutton	71	Steady Blueliner	15 P · 55 GP	-	$5.10M	-	87%
Tyler Kleven	65	Depth Defenseman	18 P · 70 GP	$1.60M	$3.35M	B+$1.8M	85%
Haydn Fleury	66	Depth Defenseman	4 P · 38 GP	$0.95M	$3.63M	A+$2.7M	81%
Alexander Petrovic	64	Depth Defenseman	10 P · 54 GP	$0.78M	$3.09M	A+$2.3M	81%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Tobias’s goals

Creates for

goals Tobias assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 4 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 02-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 8:27 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 03-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:47 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:39 TOI

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:20 TOI

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:36 TOI

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:44 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:54 TOI

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ TOR 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:16 TOI

vs NYR

1P

0G 1A

vs NYR 04-13

0G 1A · 3 shots · 21:35 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 20:17 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)51 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 1 of 2 goals live there

Defensive floor: 23 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Los Angeles Kings	3	0	0	0	-4
2020-21	Los Angeles Kings	33	1	5	6	-3
2021-22	Los Angeles Kings	70	0	8	8	-12
2022-23	Los Angeles Kings	10	0	1	1	1
2023-24	Los Angeles Kings	1	0	0	0	0
2023-24	Vegas Golden Knights	2	0	0	0	-2
2023-24	Florida Panthers	1	0	0	0	0
2024-25	Florida Panthers	14	0	0	0	-3
2025-26	Florida Panthers	19	2	2	4	1
Career	3 teams	153	3	16	19	-22