Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Detroit Red Wings 2@Toronto Maple Leafs 1
2026-01-21DET · TOR
CF%?
55.8%·44.2%
xGF%?
51.8%·48.2%
HDCF%?
51.5%·48.5%
5v5 xGF%?
56.8%·43.2%
5v5 CF%?
59.6%·40.4%
?
TOR wins ↑DET wins ↓
DET 41%Deserved to win?59% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 3.26 xG vs 3.79 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
DET 2@TOR 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-21 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJohn GibsonDET · 1 gv · 30 sv · 1 GA89
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJoseph WollTOR · 1 gv · 39 sv · 2 GA81
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickDylan LarkinDET · 1G · 1A · 0.61 ixG80DET
1Dylan Larkin802
Simon Edvinsson693
Moritz Seider674
Lucas Raymond635
Albert Johansson596
Michael Rasmussen587
Marco Kasper578
J.T. Compher559
Andrew Copp5410
Elmer Soderblom5411
Alex DeBrincat5212
Mason Appleton5213
Ben Chiarot5114
Axel Sandin-Pellikka5115
Patrick Kane5016
James van Riemsdyk4917
Jacob Bernard-Docker4818
Emmitt Finnie48
Dylan Larkin802Simon Edvinsson693Moritz Seider674Lucas Raymond635Albert Johansson596Michael Rasmussen587Marco Kasper578J.T. Compher559Andrew Copp5410Elmer Soderblom5411Alex DeBrincat5212Mason Appleton5213Ben Chiarot5114Axel Sandin-Pellikka5115Patrick Kane5016James van Riemsdyk4917Jacob Bernard-Docker4818Emmitt Finnie48Goalies
TOR
1
Scott Laughton702
Auston Matthews643
Steven Lorentz634
John Tavares615
Troy Stecher606
Morgan Rielly607
Calle Jarnkrok608
Bobby McMann569
Max Domi5410
Jake McCabe5311
Nicholas Robertson5312
Simon Benoit5213
Nicolas Roy5114
Matias Maccelli5015
Oliver Ekman-Larsson5016
Matthew Knies5017
Brandon Carlo4818
Easton Cowan46
Scott Laughton702Auston Matthews643Steven Lorentz634John Tavares615Troy Stecher606Morgan Rielly607Calle Jarnkrok608Bobby McMann569Max Domi5410Jake McCabe5311Nicholas Robertson5312Simon Benoit5213Nicolas Roy5114Matias Maccelli5015Oliver Ekman-Larsson5016Matthew Knies5017Brandon Carlo4818Easton Cowan46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
OT
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 1 (15) | 0 (7) | 0 (13) | 1 (6) | 2 |
| TOR | 1 (12) | 0 (14) | 0 (5) | 0 (0) | 1 |
| DET | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 15 | Hits | 22 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 33 | Faceoff wins | 32 |
| DET | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 1 |
| 5.22 | Expected goals | 4.86 |
| 3.81 | 5v5 xG | 2.89 |
| 0.57 | Power-play xG | 1.51 |
| 77 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 41 | On goal | 31 |
| 17 | High-danger | 16 |
| 4 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 18 | Missed | 17 |
| 18 | Blocked | 13 |
| 0.068 | xG per attempt | 0.080 |
| 36 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG107 of 138 attempts shown