HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Seattle Kraken 3@Utah Mammoth 6

2026-01-17
SEA · UTA

CF%?

44.7%·55.3%

xGF%?

37.9%·62.1%

HDCF%?

45.2%·54.8%

5v5 xGF%?

43.2%·56.8%

5v5 CF%?

44.0%·56.0%

?
UTA wins ↑SEA wins ↓
SEA 42%Deserved to win?58% UTA

the game's chances, replayed · 3.22 xG vs 3.70 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model

SEA 3@UTA 6

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-01-17 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickLawson CrouseUTA · 1G · 2A · 0.87 ixG99★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNate SchmidtUTA · 2G · 2A · 0.36 ixG89★ 3rd star · our model’s pickMatty BeniersSEA · 1G · 1A · 0.39 ixG80

SEA

1Matty Beniers802Vince Dunn653Berkly Catton644Chandler Stephenson645Kaapo Kakko626Frederick Gaudreau617Eeli Tolvanen608Shane Wright609Jordan Eberle5910Ryan Winterton5611Jaden Schwartz5612Jamie Oleksiak5213Brandon Montour5214Ryker Evans5215Ben Meyers5216Ryan Lindgren5017Jared McCann4918Adam Larsson46

Goalies

1Philipp Grubauer41

UTA

1Lawson Crouse992Nate Schmidt893Jack McBain784Barrett Hayton755Nick Schmaltz716Clayton Keller717Kevin Stenlund708John Marino639Mikhail Sergachev6010Sean Durzi5911Dylan Guenther5812Michael Carcone5813Liam O'Brien5414Ian Cole5315JJ Peterka5316Nick DeSimone5217Brandon Tanev5018Daniil But50

Goalies

1Karel Vejmelka62
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

1:09SEA

Jordan Eberle from Kaapo Kakko, Matty Beniers

2:47UTA

Kevin Stenlund from Lawson Crouse, Ian Cole

SH

Period 2

0:28UTA

Nate Schmidt from Jack McBain, Dylan Guenther

4:31UTA

Nick Schmaltz from Lawson Crouse, Nate Schmidt

15:11SEA

Matty Beniers from Vince Dunn, Berkly Catton

17:43SEA

Chandler Stephenson from Frederick Gaudreau, Eeli Tolvanen

Period 3

14:30UTA

Nate Schmidt from Clayton Keller

15:12UTA

Lawson Crouse from Clayton Keller, Nate Schmidt

19:09UTA

Barrett Hayton from John Marino, Karel Vejmelka

EN
Goals (SOG)123T
SEA1 (12)2 (7)0 (2)3
UTA1 (12)2 (8)3 (11)6
SEAUTA
0/3Power play0/2
13Hits25
16Blocked shots19
5Takeaways4
14Giveaways17
31Faceoff wins35
SEAUTA
3Goals6
4.53Expected goals7.41
3.255v5 xG4.27
1.28Power-play xG0.61
55Shot attempts68
21On goal31
19High-danger23
3Rebound chances5
18Missed18
16Blocked19
0.082xG per attempt0.109
29 ftAvg shot distance33 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

SEA attackingUTA attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG88 of 123 attempts shown