Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Anaheim Ducks 3@Buffalo Sabres 5
2026-01-10ANA · BUF
CF%?
58.5%·41.5%
xGF%?
43.7%·56.3%
HDCF%?
48.8%·51.2%
5v5 xGF%?
56.3%·43.7%
5v5 CF%?
60.4%·39.6%
?
BUF wins ↑ANA wins ↓
ANA 46%Deserved to win?54% BUF
the game's chances, replayed · 2.66 xG vs 2.86 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
ANA 3@BUF 5
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-10 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickTage ThompsonBUF · 1G · 1A · 0.21 ixG85
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickJosh NorrisBUF · 1G · 1.29 ixG · 3 blk80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickLeo CarlssonANA · 1G · 1A · 0.51 ixG79ANA
1Leo Carlsson792
Jackson LaCombe693
Mason McTavish684
Olen Zellweger655
Mikael Granlund646
Cutter Gauthier587
Alex Killorn588
Beckett Sennecke579
Ian Moore5610
Ryan Poehling5411
Ross Johnston5312
Ryan Strome5313
Tim Washe5214
Nikita Nesterenko5215
Chris Kreider5216
Radko Gudas5117
Pavel Mintyukov4818
Drew Helleson46
Leo Carlsson792Jackson LaCombe693Mason McTavish684Olen Zellweger655Mikael Granlund646Cutter Gauthier587Alex Killorn588Beckett Sennecke579Ian Moore5610Ryan Poehling5411Ross Johnston5312Ryan Strome5313Tim Washe5214Nikita Nesterenko5215Chris Kreider5216Radko Gudas5117Pavel Mintyukov4818Drew Helleson46Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 0 (8) | 0 (14) | 3 (14) | 3 |
| BUF | 1 (12) | 1 (11) | 3 (9) | 5 |
| ANA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 1/5 | Power play | 0/5 |
| 29 | Hits | 10 |
| 24 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 20 | Giveaways | 19 |
| 36 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| ANA | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Goals | 5 |
| 4.97 | Expected goals | 6.42 |
| 3.92 | 5v5 xG | 3.04 |
| 1.06 | Power-play xG | 0.80 |
| 76 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 36 | On goal | 32 |
| 20 | High-danger | 21 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 5 |
| 16 | Missed | 11 |
| 24 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.065 | xG per attempt | 0.119 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 29 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG95 of 130 attempts shown