Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Ottawa Senators 2@Colorado Avalanche 8
2026-01-08OTT · COL
CF%?
51.2%·48.8%
xGF%?
46.9%·53.1%
HDCF%?
40.6%·59.4%
5v5 xGF%?
52.1%·47.9%
5v5 CF%?
54.8%·45.2%
?
COL wins ↑OTT wins ↓
OTT 31%Deserved to win?69% COL
the game's chances, replayed · 2.17 xG vs 3.17 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
OTT 2@COL 8
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-08 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickJosh MansonCOL · 2G · 2A · 0.13 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickNathan MacKinnonCOL · 1G · 3A · 0.39 ixG99
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBrock NelsonCOL · 2G · 1A · 0.17 ixG91OTT
1
Tyler Kleven752
Brady Tkachuk723
Claude Giroux654
Jake Sanderson625
Dylan Cozens606
Shane Pinto597
Fabian Zetterlund578
Lars Eller579
Nikolas Matinpalo5510
Jordan Spence5511
Ridly Greig5512
David Perron5513
Thomas Chabot5414
Drake Batherson5415
Artem Zub5116
Nick Cousins5017
Michael Amadio5018
Tim Stützle50
Tyler Kleven752Brady Tkachuk723Claude Giroux654Jake Sanderson625Dylan Cozens606Shane Pinto597Fabian Zetterlund578Lars Eller579Nikolas Matinpalo5510Jordan Spence5511Ridly Greig5512David Perron5513Thomas Chabot5414Drake Batherson5415Artem Zub5116Nick Cousins5017Michael Amadio5018Tim Stützle50Goalies
COL
1Josh Manson992Nathan MacKinnon993Brock Nelson914
Ross Colton835
Cale Makar796
Martin Necas777
Brent Burns728
Jack Drury719
Ilya Solovyov6410
Sam Malinski6111
Zakhar Bardakov6012
Parker Kelly5913
Artturi Lehkonen5714
Valeri Nichushkin5315
Gavin Brindley5216
Samuel Girard5217
Ivan Ivan5118
Victor Olofsson45
Josh Manson992Nathan MacKinnon993Brock Nelson914Ross Colton835Cale Makar796Martin Necas777Brent Burns728Jack Drury719Ilya Solovyov6410Sam Malinski6111Zakhar Bardakov6012Parker Kelly5913Artturi Lehkonen5714Valeri Nichushkin5315Gavin Brindley5216Samuel Girard5217Ivan Ivan5118Victor Olofsson45Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OTT | 0 (11) | 1 (10) | 1 (10) | 2 |
| COL | 2 (11) | 6 (17) | 0 (6) | 8 |
| OTT | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/5 | Power play | 2/8 |
| 38 | Hits | 12 |
| 24 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 7 | Giveaways | 11 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 33 |
| OTT | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 8 |
| 4.37 | Expected goals | 4.95 |
| 3.59 | 5v5 xG | 3.30 |
| 0.56 | Power-play xG | 1.65 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 31 | On goal | 34 |
| 13 | High-danger | 19 |
| 7 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 11 | Missed | 13 |
| 24 | Blocked | 16 |
| 0.066 | xG per attempt | 0.079 |
| 33 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG89 of 129 attempts shown