HockeyAlpha

Game Lab

Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays

Nashville Predators 2@Edmonton Oilers 6

2026-01-06
NSH · EDM

CF%?

44.4%·55.6%

xGF%?

38.2%·61.8%

HDCF%?

43.2%·56.8%

5v5 xGF%?

40.5%·59.5%

5v5 CF%?

47.1%·52.9%

?
EDM wins ↑NSH wins ↓
NSH 8%Deserved to win?92% EDM

the game's chances, replayed · 2.23 xG vs 5.69 xG

The Impact Report?

every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable

NSH 2@EDM 6

The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com

2026-01-06 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale

★ 1st star · our model’s pickConnor McDavidEDM · 3G · 1.54 ixG · 1 blk99★ 2nd star · our model’s pickLeon DraisaitlEDM · 1G · 2A · 0.43 ixG93★ 3rd star · our model’s pickKasperi KapanenEDM · 1G · 1A · 0.24 ixG77

NSH

1Ryan O'Reilly702Nicolas Hague693Nick Blankenburg654Luke Evangelista645Reid Schaefer636Michael McCarron617Cole Smith578Fedor Svechkov579Erik Haula5510Michael Bunting5511Filip Forsberg5412Adam Henrique5213Steven Stamkos5114Nick Perbix4915Roman Josi4816Brady Skjei4817Tyson Jost4818Justin Barron47

Goalies

1Juuse Saros61

EDM

1Connor McDavid992Leon Draisaitl933Kasperi Kapanen774Curtis Lazar715Vasily Podkolzin706Evan Bouchard677Matt Savoie648Ryan Nugent-Hopkins629Mattias Ekholm6210Darnell Nurse5911Zach Hyman5912Mattias Janmark5813Isaac Howard5714Jack Roslovic5615Alec Regula5316Ty Emberson4717Spencer Stastney47

Goalies

1Connor Ingram63
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha

Box score

Period 1

8:53EDM

Connor McDavid from Evan Bouchard, Leon Draisaitl

PP

Period 2

15:53EDM

Connor McDavid

PP
16:15EDM

Curtis Lazar from Matt Savoie, Mattias Janmark

18:52EDM

Kasperi Kapanen from Leon Draisaitl, Vasily Podkolzin

Period 3

3:48NSH

Ryan O'Reilly from Nicolas Hague, Luke Evangelista

4:03NSH

Nick Blankenburg from Reid Schaefer, Michael Bunting

13:46EDM

Leon Draisaitl from Kasperi Kapanen, Vasily Podkolzin

19:03EDM

Connor McDavid from Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Mattias Ekholm

Goals (SOG)123T
NSH0 (9)0 (7)2 (10)2
EDM1 (12)3 (16)2 (15)6
NSHEDM
0/2Power play2/2
17Hits15
19Blocked shots17
6Takeaways7
18Giveaways16
26Faceoff wins34
NSHEDM
2Goals6
4.29Expected goals6.95
3.775v5 xG5.53
0.38Power-play xG1.21
60Shot attempts75
26On goal43
19High-danger25
1Rebound chances6
15Missed15
19Blocked17
0.072xG per attempt0.093
30 ftAvg shot distance28 ft

Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.

NSH attackingEDM attacking
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG99 of 135 attempts shown