Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Florida Panthers 1@Toronto Maple Leafs 4
2026-01-06FLA · TOR
CF%?
61.0%·39.0%
xGF%?
46.6%·53.4%
HDCF%?
58.1%·41.9%
5v5 xGF%?
49.3%·50.7%
5v5 CF%?
58.8%·41.2%
?
TOR wins ↑FLA wins ↓
FLA 52%Deserved to win?48% TOR
the game's chances, replayed · 2.83 xG vs 2.74 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
FLA 1@TOR 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-06 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAuston MatthewsTOR · 1G · 0.84 ixG · 1 blk76
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBobby McMannTOR · 1G · 0.73 ixG · 1 blk76
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickJoseph WollTOR · 31 sv · 1 GA · GSAx +1.3576FLA
1
Carter Verhaeghe692
Anton Lundell603
Luke Kunin584
Sam Bennett575
Sam Reinhart576
Gustav Forsling567
Mackie Samoskevich568
Evan Rodrigues569
Uvis Balinskis5610
Niko Mikkola5511
A.J. Greer5512
Jesper Boqvist5413
Noah Gregor5214
Brad Marchand5115
Jeff Petry5116
Eetu Luostarinen5017
Donovan Sebrango4918
Aaron Ekblad46
Carter Verhaeghe692Anton Lundell603Luke Kunin584Sam Bennett575Sam Reinhart576Gustav Forsling567Mackie Samoskevich568Evan Rodrigues569Uvis Balinskis5610Niko Mikkola5511A.J. Greer5512Jesper Boqvist5413Noah Gregor5214Brad Marchand5115Jeff Petry5116Eetu Luostarinen5017Donovan Sebrango4918Aaron Ekblad46Goalies
TOR
1Auston Matthews762Bobby McMann763
Matthew Knies754
Nicolas Roy735
Nicholas Robertson696
Easton Cowan627
Matias Maccelli608
Simon Benoit609
Steven Lorentz5910
Troy Stecher5911
John Tavares5912
Scott Laughton5913
Calle Jarnkrok5314
Philippe Myers5115
Max Domi5116
Morgan Rielly4917
Brandon Carlo4718
Oliver Ekman-Larsson42
Auston Matthews762Bobby McMann763Matthew Knies754Nicolas Roy735Nicholas Robertson696Easton Cowan627Matias Maccelli608Simon Benoit609Steven Lorentz5910Troy Stecher5911John Tavares5912Scott Laughton5913Calle Jarnkrok5314Philippe Myers5115Max Domi5116Morgan Rielly4917Brandon Carlo4718Oliver Ekman-Larsson42Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 0 (4) | 0 (9) | 1 (19) | 1 |
| TOR | 1 (8) | 2 (9) | 1 (6) | 4 |
| FLA | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 0/3 |
| 31 | Hits | 21 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 12 | Giveaways | 14 |
| 28 | Faceoff wins | 30 |
| FLA | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Goals | 4 |
| 4.40 | Expected goals | 5.03 |
| 2.39 | 5v5 xG | 2.46 |
| 1.90 | Power-play xG | 1.09 |
| 75 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 32 | On goal | 23 |
| 18 | High-danger | 13 |
| 5 | Rebound chances | 0 |
| 24 | Missed | 14 |
| 19 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.059 | xG per attempt | 0.105 |
| 35 ft | Avg shot distance | 32 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG93 of 123 attempts shown