Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Colorado Avalanche 2@Tampa Bay Lightning 4
2026-01-06COL · TBL
CF%?
50.0%·50.0%
xGF%?
45.7%·54.3%
HDCF%?
54.5%·45.5%
5v5 xGF%?
49.6%·50.4%
5v5 CF%?
46.6%·53.4%
?
TBL wins ↑COL wins ↓
COL 67%Deserved to win?33% TBL
the game's chances, replayed · 3.23 xG vs 2.32 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
COL 2@TBL 4
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-06 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickAndrei VasilevskiyTBL · 31 sv · 2 GA · GSAx +1.6480
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrandon HagelTBL · 1G · 1A · 0.22 ixG75
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickBrock NelsonCOL · 1G · 0.53 ixG · 1 blk72COL
1Brock Nelson722
Cale Makar693
Parker Kelly664
Nathan MacKinnon625
Zakhar Bardakov626
Valeri Nichushkin587
Sam Malinski578
Ilya Solovyov579
Artturi Lehkonen5610
Ross Colton5611
Martin Necas5612
Jack Drury5613
Samuel Girard5414
Taylor Makar5315
Victor Olofsson5216
Josh Manson4617
Brent Burns45
Brock Nelson722Cale Makar693Parker Kelly664Nathan MacKinnon625Zakhar Bardakov626Valeri Nichushkin587Sam Malinski578Ilya Solovyov579Artturi Lehkonen5610Ross Colton5611Martin Necas5612Jack Drury5613Samuel Girard5414Taylor Makar5315Victor Olofsson5216Josh Manson4617Brent Burns45Goalies
TBL
1Brandon Hagel752
Yanni Gourde713
Jake Guentzel704
Darren Raddysh705
Nikita Kucherov686
Anthony Cirelli667
Zemgus Girgensons658
Max Crozier649
Pontus Holmberg6110
J.J. Moser5711
Brayden Point5612
Nick Paul5613
Dominic James5414
Erik Cernak5315
Charle-Edouard D'Astous5216
Oliver Bjorkstrand5217
Gage Goncalves5118
Declan Carlile51
Brandon Hagel752Yanni Gourde713Jake Guentzel704Darren Raddysh705Nikita Kucherov686Anthony Cirelli667Zemgus Girgensons658Max Crozier649Pontus Holmberg6110J.J. Moser5711Brayden Point5612Nick Paul5613Dominic James5414Erik Cernak5315Charle-Edouard D'Astous5216Oliver Bjorkstrand5217Gage Goncalves5118Declan Carlile51Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 (7) | 2 (13) | 0 (13) | 2 |
| TBL | 1 (12) | 1 (10) | 2 (6) | 4 |
| COL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/4 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 20 | Hits | 21 |
| 21 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 4 | Takeaways | 5 |
| 19 | Giveaways | 12 |
| 38 | Faceoff wins | 17 |
| COL | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Goals | 4 |
| 5.05 | Expected goals | 5.99 |
| 3.11 | 5v5 xG | 3.16 |
| 1.94 | Power-play xG | 0.79 |
| 67 | Shot attempts | 67 |
| 33 | On goal | 28 |
| 18 | High-danger | 15 |
| 3 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 13 | Missed | 20 |
| 21 | Blocked | 19 |
| 0.075 | xG per attempt | 0.089 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 35 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG94 of 134 attempts shown