Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Nashville Predators 4@Calgary Flames 3
2026-01-03NSH · CGY
CF%?
54.8%·45.2%
xGF%?
52.4%·47.6%
HDCF%?
55.6%·44.4%
5v5 xGF%?
55.0%·45.0%
5v5 CF%?
56.2%·43.8%
?
CGY wins ↑NSH wins ↓
NSH 56%Deserved to win?44% CGY
the game's chances, replayed · 2.51 xG vs 2.24 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
NSH 4@CGY 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickMichael BuntingNSH · 1G · 3A · 0.15 ixG90
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickErik HaulaNSH · 2G · 0.52 ixG · 1 gv80
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSteven StamkosNSH · 2A · 0.30 ixG · 1 blk78NSH
1Michael Bunting902Erik Haula803Steven Stamkos784
Nicolas Hague645
Michael McCarron626
Cole Smith607
Ryan O'Reilly608
Nick Blankenburg579
Reid Schaefer5610
Filip Forsberg5511
Roman Josi5412
Tyson Jost5413
Nick Perbix5314
Joel Hanley5215
Adam Wilsby5116
Fedor Svechkov4917
Brady Skjei4818
Luke Evangelista4719
Justin Barron45
Michael Bunting902Erik Haula803Steven Stamkos784Nicolas Hague645Michael McCarron626Cole Smith607Ryan O'Reilly608Nick Blankenburg579Reid Schaefer5610Filip Forsberg5511Roman Josi5412Tyson Jost5413Nick Perbix5314Joel Hanley5215Adam Wilsby5116Fedor Svechkov4917Brady Skjei4818Luke Evangelista4719Justin Barron45Goalies
CGY
1
Rasmus Andersson742
Yan Kuznetsov693
Mikael Backlund664
MacKenzie Weegar665
Matt Coronato656
Blake Coleman637
Nazem Kadri588
Yegor Sharangovich559
Jonathan Huberdeau5410
Morgan Frost5411
Adam Klapka5312
Joel Farabee5213
Hunter Brzustewicz5114
Connor Zary5115
Kevin Bahl5116
John Beecher5017
Ryan Lomberg50
Rasmus Andersson742Yan Kuznetsov693Mikael Backlund664MacKenzie Weegar665Matt Coronato656Blake Coleman637Nazem Kadri588Yegor Sharangovich559Jonathan Huberdeau5410Morgan Frost5411Adam Klapka5312Joel Farabee5213Hunter Brzustewicz5114Connor Zary5115Kevin Bahl5116John Beecher5017Ryan Lomberg50Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 2 (16) | 1 (13) | 1 (7) | 4 |
| CGY | 2 (11) | 0 (3) | 1 (9) | 3 |
| NSH | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/5 | Power play | 0/6 |
| 23 | Hits | 26 |
| 12 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 7 | Takeaways | 4 |
| 22 | Giveaways | 17 |
| 42 | Faceoff wins | 31 |
| NSH | CGY | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 3 |
| 4.07 | Expected goals | 3.70 |
| 3.89 | 5v5 xG | 3.18 |
| 0.00 | Power-play xG | 0.31 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 36 | On goal | 23 |
| 20 | High-danger | 16 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 1 |
| 15 | Missed | 14 |
| 12 | Blocked | 15 |
| 0.065 | xG per attempt | 0.071 |
| 32 ft | Avg shot distance | 33 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG88 of 115 attempts shown