Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Colorado Avalanche 5@Carolina Hurricanes 3
2026-01-03COL · CAR
CF%?
54.1%·45.9%
xGF%?
63.8%·36.2%
HDCF%?
55.8%·44.2%
5v5 xGF%?
55.2%·44.8%
5v5 CF%?
50.0%·50.0%
?
CAR wins ↑COL wins ↓
COL 63%Deserved to win?37% CAR
the game's chances, replayed · 4.65 xG vs 3.79 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
COL 5@CAR 3
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickNathan MacKinnonCOL · 1G · 3A · 0.97 ixG99
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBrock NelsonCOL · 2G · 0.80 ixG · 1 tk88
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickSebastian AhoCAR · 1G · 1A · 1.00 ixG88COL
1Nathan MacKinnon992Brock Nelson883
Martin Necas724
Jack Drury715
Artturi Lehkonen716
Gabriel Landeskog707
Ross Colton708
Cale Makar679
Parker Kelly5510
Victor Olofsson5511
Josh Manson5512
Valeri Nichushkin5413
Devon Toews5314
Taylor Makar5215
Sam Malinski5016
Samuel Girard5017
Brent Burns4818
Zakhar Bardakov48
Nathan MacKinnon992Brock Nelson883Martin Necas724Jack Drury715Artturi Lehkonen716Gabriel Landeskog707Ross Colton708Cale Makar679Parker Kelly5510Victor Olofsson5511Josh Manson5512Valeri Nichushkin5413Devon Toews5314Taylor Makar5215Sam Malinski5016Samuel Girard5017Brent Burns4818Zakhar Bardakov48Goalies
CAR
1Sebastian Aho882
Andrei Svechnikov673
Logan Stankoven654
Nikolaj Ehlers645
Taylor Hall636
Eric Robinson607
Jordan Martinook588
K'Andre Miller579
Jordan Staal5610
Sean Walker5511
Mark Jankowski5312
Shayne Gostisbehere5213
Jalen Chatfield5214
Alexander Nikishin5115
Jackson Blake5016
Jesperi Kotkaniemi4917
William Carrier4818
Joel Nystrom47
Sebastian Aho882Andrei Svechnikov673Logan Stankoven654Nikolaj Ehlers645Taylor Hall636Eric Robinson607Jordan Martinook588K'Andre Miller579Jordan Staal5610Sean Walker5511Mark Jankowski5312Shayne Gostisbehere5213Jalen Chatfield5214Alexander Nikishin5115Jackson Blake5016Jesperi Kotkaniemi4917William Carrier4818Joel Nystrom47Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 0 (15) | 1 (9) | 4 (11) | 5 |
| CAR | 1 (10) | 2 (8) | 0 (10) | 3 |
| COL | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2/5 | Power play | 1/3 |
| 19 | Hits | 18 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 5 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 13 | Giveaways | 16 |
| 39 | Faceoff wins | 23 |
| COL | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Goals | 3 |
| 8.03 | Expected goals | 4.56 |
| 3.80 | 5v5 xG | 3.08 |
| 2.26 | Power-play xG | 1.35 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 35 | On goal | 28 |
| 24 | High-danger | 19 |
| 6 | Rebound chances | 4 |
| 15 | Missed | 17 |
| 16 | Blocked | 11 |
| 0.122 | xG per attempt | 0.081 |
| 28 ft | Avg shot distance | 30 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG95 of 122 attempts shown