Game Lab
Every shot with xG, win probability, player impact, and 3D replays
Pittsburgh Penguins 4@Detroit Red Wings 1
2026-01-03PIT · DET
CF%?
57.6%·42.4%
xGF%?
68.7%·31.3%
HDCF%?
60.0%·40.0%
5v5 xGF%?
58.5%·41.5%
5v5 CF%?
54.1%·45.9%
?
DET wins ↑PIT wins ↓
PIT 71%Deserved to win?29% DET
the game's chances, replayed · 2.42 xG vs 1.49 xG
The Impact Report?
every skater, rated by our model · on-ice tilt unavailable
PIT 4@DET 1
The Impact Report · hockeyalpha.com
2026-01-03 · Game Alpha: one night on the 40-99 scale
★ 1st star · our model’s pickSidney CrosbyPIT · 2A · 0.09 ixG · 10 FOW79
★ 2nd star · our model’s pickBryan RustPIT · 1G · 0.49 ixG · 1 blk74
★ 3rd star · our model’s pickRickard RakellPIT · 1G · 0.87 ixG · 3 blk73PIT
1Sidney Crosby792Bryan Rust743Rickard Rakell734
Connor Dewar685
Egor Chinakhov676
Brett Kulak647
Kris Letang648
Ben Kindel639
Blake Lizotte6310
Parker Wotherspoon6111
Noel Acciari5512
Justin Brazeau5513
Jack St. Ivany5414
Ryan Shea5115
Erik Karlsson5116
Rutger McGroarty5117
Tommy Novak5018
Anthony Mantha50
Sidney Crosby792Bryan Rust743Rickard Rakell734Connor Dewar685Egor Chinakhov676Brett Kulak647Kris Letang648Ben Kindel639Blake Lizotte6310Parker Wotherspoon6111Noel Acciari5512Justin Brazeau5513Jack St. Ivany5414Ryan Shea5115Erik Karlsson5116Rutger McGroarty5117Tommy Novak5018Anthony Mantha50Goalies
DET
1
Alex DeBrincat632
Andrew Copp573
J.T. Compher574
Jacob Bernard-Docker545
Patrick Kane536
Lucas Raymond527
Marco Kasper528
Mason Appleton529
Emmitt Finnie5210
Moritz Seider5111
Nate Danielson5112
James van Riemsdyk5013
Michael Rasmussen5014
Axel Sandin-Pellikka5015
Ben Chiarot4916
Albert Johansson4717
Dylan Larkin4718
Simon Edvinsson44
Alex DeBrincat632Andrew Copp573J.T. Compher574Jacob Bernard-Docker545Patrick Kane536Lucas Raymond527Marco Kasper528Mason Appleton529Emmitt Finnie5210Moritz Seider5111Nate Danielson5112James van Riemsdyk5013Michael Rasmussen5014Axel Sandin-Pellikka5015Ben Chiarot4916Albert Johansson4717Dylan Larkin4718Simon Edvinsson44Goalies
ShootingPlaymakingDefense & physicalFaceoffsOn-ice xG tiltGoaltendingNegative playsnumber = Game Alpha
Box score
Period 1
Period 2
Period 3
| Goals (SOG) | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 2 (10) | 0 (9) | 2 (12) | 4 |
| DET | 0 (5) | 1 (4) | 0 (3) | 1 |
| PIT | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 0/2 | Power play | 0/2 |
| 20 | Hits | 21 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 8 | Takeaways | 2 |
| 16 | Giveaways | 19 |
| 26 | Faceoff wins | 22 |
| PIT | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goals | 1 |
| 5.40 | Expected goals | 2.47 |
| 3.05 | 5v5 xG | 2.16 |
| 0.56 | Power-play xG | 0.30 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 42 |
| 31 | On goal | 12 |
| 15 | High-danger | 10 |
| 2 | Rebound chances | 2 |
| 12 | Missed | 16 |
| 14 | Blocked | 14 |
| 0.095 | xG per attempt | 0.059 |
| 34 ft | Avg shot distance | 34 ft |
Click any shot marker to replay the event in 3D.
GoalHigh-danger (xG > 0.15)Low-dangerMissed / blockedMarker size = xG71 of 99 attempts shown